Cal Poly Mustangs vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 11/23/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cal Poly Mustangs vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2024

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs (3-3) are on their way to University Credit Union Pavilion on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the St. Mary's Gaels (5-0).

The Cal Poly Mustangs took the court against Arizona State and took a loss by a final of 93-89 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Mustangs ended up with 29 and Arizona State totaled 17 fouls. They also knocked down 10 out of their 24 attempts from long range. Arizona State finished the game shooting 65.9% from the free throw line by converting 27 of their 41 attempts. On top of that, Arizona State pulled down 41 boards (12 offensive, 29 defensive), but didn't have a block. Arizona State earned 15 assists and had 9 steals for the contest. In the matter of the defense, Cal Poly allowed their opponent to shoot 48.3% from the floor on 28 out of 58 shooting. They also doled out 18 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and getting 8 steals. With respect to grabbing boards, they earned a total of 23 with 3 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Mustangs made 10 of 15 attempts for a rate of 66.7%. Cal Poly wrapped up the contest with a 51.6% field goal percentage (33 of 64) and made 13 of 37 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Jarred Hyder is one guy who was a contributor in the matchup. He finished with 27 points on 9 out of 18 shooting. He saw the court for 35 mins and also collected 4 rebounds. He finished the game shooting 50.0% from the floor and dished out 3 assists.

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Cal Poly comes into this game with a mark of 3-3 this season. They are giving up possession 17.5 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.2 fouls per contest. As a unit, Cal Poly is collecting 37.0 rebounds per contest and has earned 96 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 17th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Mustangs are hitting 34.6% on three-point attempts (64 of 185) and 72.7% from the free throw line. They average 82.7 pts per contest (107th in the country) while going 47.9% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Mustangs are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game and they draw 16.2 personal fouls. They are surrendering 31.7% on 3-point attempts and they rank 329th in college hoops in points per game allowed (80.8). The Mustangs are allowing a shooting percentage of 42.8% (166 of 388) and they surrender 36.2 boards per game as a basketball team. They are ranked 328th in college basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 81 surrendered for the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the St. Mary's Gaels took home the win by a final score of 78-38 against Cal St. Stanislaus. Regarding team rebounding, St. Mary's allowed Cal St. Stanislaus to grab 25 overall (5 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 17.6% from 3-point land by hitting 3 of 17 and finished the contest at 3 of 7 from the free throw line (42.9%). The Gaels permitted Cal St. Stanislaus to make 16 of their 59 tries from the floor which had them at 27.1% in this contest. When all was said and done, the Gaels shot 31 for 63 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 49.2%. In the matter of 3-pointers, St. Mary's converted 6 of 25 attempts (24.0%). They were able to knock down 10 of the free throws for a percentage of 66.7%. Cal St. Stanislaus was called for 13 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Gaels to the charity stripe for 15 attempts. They also turned it over 13 times, while getting 7 steals for this game. The Gaels corralled 38 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive boards totaling 51 for the matchup.

Harry Wessels was important for the Gaels in this contest. He buried 5 out of 7 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 71.4%, and earned 3 rebounds. He racked up 14 points in his 15 mins of playing time and accumulated 1 assist for the contest.

St. Mary's has a mark of 5-0 on the year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Gaels are hitting on 48.0% from the floor, which has them ranked 100th in D-1. St. Mary's has scored 404 points so far this season (80.8 per contest) and they snag 42.8 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 16.6 times per contest (89th in college basketball) and they are giving up possession 10.4 times per contest. The Gaels commit 15.8 fouls every game and they hit 68.9% from the charity stripe.

The St. Mary's defense allows 34.7% on 3-point shots (33 of 95) and opponents are making 72.5% of their free throw attempts. They allow 13.6 assists and 28.8 rebounds per contest, ranking them 233rd and 18th in Division 1. The Gaels on the defensive end are ranked 74th in college hoops in points given up per game with 64.6. They are forcing their opponents into 11.2 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.0% from the floor (111th in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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