Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami RedHawks Prediction, 1/16/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami RedHawks

Date: Tuesday, January 16, 2024

Location: Millett Hall in Oxford, OH

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bowling Green (-1)

The Bowling Green Falcons (12-4) are hitting the road to Millett Hall on Tuesday where they will take on the Miami RedHawks (8-8). Bowling Green opens this contest as -1-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 144.5.

The Bowling Green Falcons stepped onto the hardwood against Northern Illinois and earned the victory with a final of 83-72 in their last contest. Bowling Green finished the contest having earned a 46.7% field goal percentage (28 out of 60) and converted 3 of their 15 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Falcons converted 24 of 33 tries for a rate of 72.7%. In terms of pulling down boards, they earned 36 with 9 of them being offensive. They also distributed 6 assists in this game while forcing 9 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Regarding defending, Bowling Green allowed their opponent to shoot 42.6% from the floor on 23 of 54 shooting. Northern Illinois totaled 6 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. In addition, Northern Illinois pulled down 25 rebounds (4 offensive, 21 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Northern Illinois walked away from this one shooting 67.9% from the free throw line by converting 19 of their 28 tries. They also made 7 of their 23 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Regarding personal fouls, the Falcons finished with 22 while Northern Illinois recorded 24 personal fouls.

Rashaun Agee is someone who was a major factor for the contest. He shot 88.9% from the floor and dished out 4 assists. He played for 30 minutes and also pulled down 9 rebounds. He accounted for 24 points on 8 out of 9 shooting.

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Bowling Green will play this game with a win-loss record of 12-4 so far this season. They average 75.8 points per game (150th in the nation) while connecting on 44.7% from the field. The Falcons are connecting on 31.2% on three-point attempts (117 of 375) and 67.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Bowling Green is collecting 38.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 183 assists on the year, which has them ranked 330th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 11.5 times per game and as a unit are committing 16.0 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Falcons are forcing their opponents into 12.1 turnovers every game while drawing 19.3 fouls. They currently rank 69th in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 184 surrendered so far this season. The Falcons defense is giving up a FG percentage of 42.4% (414 of 977) and they relinquish 35.4 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 33.2% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 119th in D-1 in opponents points per game (69.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the Miami RedHawks took home the win by a final score of 71-54 when they played Eastern Michigan. In relation to rebounds, Miami allowed Eastern Michigan to pull down 30 in total (10 offensive). They finished 20.0% from three-point range by shooting 4 of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 14 of 19 from the charity stripe (73.7%). The RedHawks allowed Eastern Michigan to convert 18 out of 58 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 31.0% in this game. When the final whistle blew, the RedHawks shot 23 out of 50 from the field which had them at 46.0%. In reference to three-point attempts, Miami converted 7 of their 20 tries (35.0%). They were able to bury 18 of them for a percentage of 85.7%. Eastern Michigan was called for 20 personal fouls for the game which took the RedHawks to the charity stripe for 21 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. The RedHawks corralled 31 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 38 in the game.

Eian Elmer was important for the RedHawks in this matchup. He knocked down 9 out of 14 for this contest for a field goal rate of 64.3%, and added 6 rebounds. He had 23 points in his 31 mins on the court, but wasn't able to earn an assist.

Miami has a record of 8-8 on the season. When it comes to offensive execution, the RedHawks are hitting on 46.9% from the floor, which ranks 75th in college basketball. Miami has totaled 1,193 points this season (74.6 per contest) and they pull down 32.3 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 15.8 times per contest (54th in the country) and they are giving up possession 11.9 times per game. The RedHawks have committed 17.7 fouls every game while shooting 69.6% from the charity stripe.

The Miami defense concedes 28.5% on shots from 3-point land (88 of 309) and opponents are connecting on 73.1% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 11.7 dimes and 34.8 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 96th and 173rd in the nation. The RedHawks defensively are ranked 155th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 70.6. They are forcing 12.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 44.1% from the field (242nd in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+1)

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