Baylor Bears vs St. John's Red Storm Prediction, 11/21/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs St. John's Red Storm

Date: Thursday, November 21, 2024

Location: Baha Mar Convention Center in Nassau, Bahamas

TV: ESPN+

The Baylor Bears (3-1) are headed to Baha Mar Convention Center on Thursday where they will try to defeat the St. John's Red Storm (4-0).

The Baylor Bears stepped onto the hardwood against Tarleton State and walked away with a win by a score of 104-41 in their last game. Baylor finished the contest with a 51.7% field goal percentage (31 out of 60) and converted 15 out of their 32 3-pointers. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bears made 27 of their 36 shots for a rate of 75.0%. In terms of rebounding, they compiled 40 with 18 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 22 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing 27 turnovers and having 15 steals. When talking about defending, Baylor allowed the other team to shoot 38.5% from the field on 15 out of 39 shooting. Tarleton State recorded 11 assists and had 3 steals in the game. Additionally, Tarleton State collected 17 boards (2 offensive, 15 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Tarleton State finished shooting 54.5% from the charity stripe by knocking down 6 of their 11 attempts. They also converted 5 out of their 14 shots from beyond the arc. Regarding personal fouls, the Bears walked away with 10 while Tarleton State recorded 26 personal fouls.

Jalen Celestine is someone who was a factor for this contest. He walked away from this one shooting 66.7% from the floor but didn't record an assist. He played 22 minutes and also pulled down 1 rebound. He ended up scoring 20 points on 6 of 9 shooting.

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Baylor enters this game with a win-loss record of 3-1 this year. They turn the ball over 11.8 times per game and as a group they are committing 14.0 fouls every game. As a team, Baylor is grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game and has 75 assists on the year, which is 82nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Bears are hitting 35.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (39 of 109) and 71.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 85.8 points per contest (61st in college hoops) while hitting 48.8% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Bears have forced 16.5 turnovers per game while drawing 19.8 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 35.5% on 3-point attempts and they are 154th in the nation in opponents PPG (69.0). The Bears are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.3% (105 of 227) and they surrender 30.5 boards per game as a group. They are 258th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 65 relinquished this season.

In their last game, the St. John's Red Storm took home the win by a final score of 85-71 against New Mexico. With respect to attacking the glass, St. John's permitted New Mexico to get 26 in total (13 on the offensive glass). They finished 44.4% from beyond the arc by shooting 8 of 18 and finished the game at 7 of 18 at the free throw line (38.9%). The Red Storm allowed New Mexico to knock down 28 of their 64 attempts from the floor which had them at 43.8% for the game. At the conclusion of this game, the Red Storm shot 34 out of 68 from the field which had them shooting 50.0%. Pertaining to shots from 3-point land, St. John's knocked down 4 of 18 attempts (22.2%). They were able to make 13 of the free throws for a rate of 65.0%. New Mexico was called for 17 fouls in the game which took the Red Storm to the charity stripe for a total of 20 attempts. They also turned it over 15 times, while recording 8 steals in this matchup. The Red Storm pulled down 26 defensive boards and 19 offensive rebounds totaling 45 for this contest.

RJ Luis was important for the Red Storm for the matchup. He earned 21 points in his 36 mins on the court and had 7 dimes for the game. He made 8 out of 18 in the game for a field goal rate of 44.4%, and accounted for 11 rebounds.

St. John's has a record of 4-0 this year. As an offensive unit, the Red Storm are hitting on 49.8% from the floor, which is ranked 53rd in college hoops. St. John's has 339 pts this year (84.8 per game) and they collect 42.5 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 18.0 times per game (51st in D-1) and they are turning it over 13.5 times per contest. The Red Storm commit 15.8 personal fouls per contest and they hit 70.3% from the free throw line.

The St. John's defense gives up 30.5% on shots from behind the 3-point line (29 of 95) and their opponents are making 61.8% of their foul shots. They surrender 13.0 dimes and 32.8 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 205th and 107th in those categories. The Red Storm are ranked 43rd in college basketball in points allowed per contest with 62.3. They are able to force 15.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 37.2% from the field (49th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. John's

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