Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 2/15/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans

Date: Thursday, February 15, 2024

Location: Trojan Arena in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

Trojan Arena is the site where the Troy Trojans (17-8) will go up against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-14) on Thursday.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves played Ohio and went home with a win by a final score of 100-87 in their last game. Arkansas State ended having earned a 63.8% field goal percentage (37 out of 58) and knocked down 11 out of their 22 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Red Wolves knocked down 15 of their 18 shots for a rate of 83.3%. When talking about rebounding, they compiled 30 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 18 dimes for this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and having 6 steals. In terms of defense, Arkansas State allowed their opponent to shoot 51.6% from the field on 32 of 62 shooting. Ohio earned 15 dimes and had 4 steals for the contest. Additionally, Ohio snagged 20 rebounds (8 offensive, 12 defensive), but didn't have a block. Ohio ended up going 90.9% at the charity stripe by making 10 of their 11 attempts. They made 13 out of their 28 tries from downtown. In relation to personal fouls, the Red Wolves ended up finishing with 12 and Ohio finished the game with 12 personal fouls.

Taryn Todd is one guy who was a factor for the matchup. He finished the game at 61.5% from the field and also recorded 1 assist. He played 26 mins and also pulled down 7 rebounds. He totaled 20 points on 8 out of 13 shooting.

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Arkansas State enters this game with a win-loss record of 11-14 on the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.0 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.7 fouls per contest. As a team, Arkansas State is snagging 37.6 boards per contest and has tallied 377 dimes for the season, which ranks 61st in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Red Wolves are shooting 35.5% on shots from downtown (250 of 705) and 70.7% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 79.6 points per outing (55th in Division 1) while shooting 44.2% from the field.

On defense, the Red Wolves have forced 9.8 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.1 personal fouls. They are surrendering 34.9% from beyond the arc and they rank 337th in college basketball in PPG allowed (78.9). The Red Wolves defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 45.4% (690 of 1,521) and they concede 36.2 boards per game as a group. They rank 113th in college basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 293 surrendered this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Troy Trojans walked away with a victory by a final of 78-68 when they played Kent State. Regarding rebounding, Troy permitted Kent State to grab 28 in all (10 on the offensive side). They shot 32.0% from three-point range by shooting 8 out of 25 and finished the contest at 20 out of 22 from the charity stripe (90.9%). The Trojans permitted Kent State to make 20 of their 53 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.7% for the contest. In all, the Trojans walked away from this one shooting 25 out of 47 from the floor which gave them a rate of 53.2%. In terms of shots from 3-point land, Troy knocked down 4 of their 15 attempts (26.7%). They were able to make 24 of the free throws for a rate of 70.6%. Kent State earned 27 personal fouls for this contest which got the Trojans to the free throw line for 34 attempts. They also turned it over 18 times, while earning 8 steals for the game. The Trojans earned 22 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 31 in this contest.

Myles Rigsby was important for the Trojans in the matchup. He totaled 22 points in his 26 mins of playing time and totaled 1 assist in this contest. He made 7 out of 11 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 63.6%, and earned 2 rebounds.

Troy has a win-loss record of 17-8 for the campaign. When it comes to offensive execution, the Trojans are hitting on 43.8% from the field, which is ranked 238th in D-1. Troy has scored 2,001 points this year (80.0 per game) and they pull in 40.3 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 14.2 times per game (117th in college hoops) and they turn it over 13.5 times per game. The Trojans are committing 18.8 fouls every game while shooting 72.5% from the charity stripe.

The Troy defense gives up 34.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (174 of 500) and opponents are knocking down 69.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 11.0 assists and 33.8 boards every game, which ranks them 43rd and 124th in college basketball. The Trojans on defense are ranked 112th in D-1 in PPG given up with 69.4. They have forced 15.1 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.9% from the field (86th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arkansas State

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