Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 1/6/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, January 6, 2024

Location: Trojan Arena in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (10-3) are headed to Trojan Arena on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Troy Trojans (7-6).

The Appalachian State Mountaineers faced UL Monroe and went home with a win by a final score of 67-55 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Mountaineers finished with 11 while UL Monroe racked up 16 personal fouls. They also converted 4 of 11 tries from beyond the perimeter. UL Monroe shot 38.5% from the free throw line by making 5 of 13 attempts. Additionally, UL Monroe collected 34 boards (10 offensive, 24 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. UL Monroe totaled 13 assists and had 6 steals in the game. In terms of the defense, Appalachian State allowed 37.1% from the floor on 23 out of 62 shooting. They also recorded 15 assists in this matchup while forcing 11 turnovers and having 5 steals. Pertaining to rebounding, they earned 37 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Mountaineers converted 13 of 16 tries for a percentage of 81.3%. Appalachian State walked away from the game having earned a 41.7% field goal percentage (25 out of 60) and knocked down 4 out of their 27 shots from downtown.

Donovan Gregory is a guy who was a major factor for the matchup. He ended up with 17 points on 7 of 10 shooting. He saw the court for 28 mins and also collected 6 rebounds. He ended up going 70.0% from the floor and totaled 3 dimes.

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Appalachian State will take the court with a mark of 10-3 on the campaign. They have an average of 78.6 points per outing (88th in the country) while connecting on 46.7% from the field. The Mountaineers are hitting 30.2% on shots from downtown (95 of 315) and 67.4% from the charity stripe. As a team, Appalachian State is pulling down 42.5 rebounds per game and has racked up 207 dimes this season, which has them ranked 107th in D-1 in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 9.6 times per contest and as a group they commit 14.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Mountaineers have forced 11.5 turnovers per game while drawing 16.2 fouls. They are giving up 30.0% from 3-point land and they are ranked 26th in the country in points per game allowed (63.3). The Mountaineers defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 36.3% (296 of 815) and they surrender 37.5 rebounds per contest as a unit. They rank 24th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 133 conceded this year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Troy Trojans took home the win by a final score of 72-65 when they played Coastal Carolina. When it comes to how they rebounded, Troy allowed Coastal Carolina to collect 30 in total (9 offensive). They finished 30.0% from three-point range by going 3 of 10 and finished the game at 12 of 25 from the free throw line (48.0%). The Trojans allowed Coastal Carolina to convert 25 out of 54 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 46.3% for the game. When the final whistle was blown, the Trojans ended up shooting 21 out of 57 from the field which gave them a rate of 36.8%. Regarding shooting from downtown, Troy made 9 out of 29 attempts (31.0%). They were able to bury 21 of the free throws for a rate of 91.3%. Coastal Carolina had 18 fouls in this matchup which got the Trojans to the free throw line for a total of 23 attempts. They coughed up the ball 10 times, while recording 6 steals in the game. The Trojans were able to corral 24 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 for the matchup.

Christyon Eugene pitched in for the Trojans for this game. He tallied 20 points in his 37 mins on the court and had 3 assists in this contest. He made 6 of 12 for the game for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 9 rebounds.

Troy has a win-loss mark of 7-6 on the campaign. When it comes to offense, the Trojans are hitting on 43.9% from the floor, which has them ranked 234th in college basketball. Troy has totaled 1,071 pts for the campaign (82.4 per game) and they pull in 40.8 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 15.3 times per contest (92nd in D-1) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.4 times per game. The Trojans have committed 19.7 fouls every game and they connect on 72.4% from the charity stripe.

The Troy defense gives up 33.5% on 3-point shots (84 of 251) and opponents are converting on 67.4% of their foul shots. They have given up 11.2 dimes and 33.7 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 72nd and 120th in those categories on the defensive end. The Trojans on defense are ranked 166th in college basketball in points allowed per game with 70.7. They have forced 15.4 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 42.3% from the floor (155th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Appalachian State

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