Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, 3/1/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies

Date: Friday, March 1, 2024

Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT

TV: ESPN+

The Utah State Aggies (23-5) will compete against the Air Force Falcons (9-18) at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum on Friday.

The Air Force Falcons played Boise State and went home with a loss by a final score of 79-48 in their last game. Air Force ended the contest having earned a 43.6% field goal percentage (17 out of 39) and buried 5 out of their 18 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Falcons made 9 of their 15 shots for a percentage of 60.0%. When talking about hauling in boards, they collected a total of 19 with 2 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 10 dimes for this game while forcing 6 turnovers and having 4 steals. In reference to defending, Air Force allowed their opponent to shoot 48.0% from the field on 24 out of 50 shooting. Boise State recorded 11 assists and had 6 steals in this game. Additionally, Boise State pulled down 30 rebounds (6 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Boise State went 88.9% at the free throw line by converting 24 of their 27 attempts. They knocked down 7 of 18 shots from beyond the arc. When discussing personal fouls, the Falcons finished with 19 and Boise State recorded 19 personal fouls.

Rytis Petraitis is one player who came through in this game. He finished the game shooting 41.7% from the floor and also totaled 3 assists. He saw the court for 39 minutes and snagged 9 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 19 points on 5 of 12 shooting.

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Air Force enters this matchup with a mark of 9-18 on the season. They are turning it over 12.2 times per contest and as a team they are committing 17.4 personal fouls per game. As a team, Air Force is pulling in 28.6 rebounds per contest and has totaled 397 assists this season, which has them ranked 129th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Falcons are hitting 36.5% on three-point attempts (237 of 650) and 67.3% from the free throw line. They are averaging 66.6 pts per game (329th in D-1) while going 45.5% from the floor.

Defensively, the Falcons are able to force 11.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.2 fouls. They relinquish 37.3% on 3-point attempts while they are 170th in the nation in points per game from their opponents (71.6). The Falcons are allowing a field goal percentage of 46.8% (666 of 1,422) and they surrender 32.6 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are ranked 106th in college basketball in giving up assists with 338 relinquished on the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Utah State Aggies got the victory with a final of 77-73 when they faced Fresno State. The Aggies earned 28 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 36 in this matchup. They turned the ball over 16 times, while recording 4 steals for this game. Fresno State had 25 fouls in the game which took the Aggies to the free throw line for a total of 29 attempts. They were able to knock down 19 of the free throw tries for a clip of 65.5%. Regarding shooting from 3-point land, Utah State buried 6 of their 15 attempts (40.0%). Overall, the Aggies finished 26 out of 50 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.0%. The Aggies permitted Fresno State to convert 28 out of 66 tries from the floor which had them at 42.4% for this game. They finished the game shooting 25.0% from beyond the arc by connecting on 7 of 28 and walked away from this one shooting 10 of 12 at the free throw line (83.3%). With respect to rebounding, Utah State permitted Fresno State to get 26 overall (7 on the offensive glass).

Great Osobor was important for the Aggies in the matchup. He knocked down 8 of 12 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and added 11 rebounds. He earned 21 points in his 41 mins on the court and totaled 2 assists for the game.

Utah State has a record of 23-5 this year. When it comes to offense, the Aggies are shooting 49.4% from the field, which is 11th in D-1. Utah State has scored 2,227 pts on the season (79.5 per game) and they snag 36.7 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 16.6 times per game (26th in the nation) and they turn it over 11.5 times per contest. The Aggies have committed 17.2 fouls per game while shooting 72.0% from the charity stripe.

The Utah State defense allows 27.6% on 3-point shots (166 of 601) and opponents are connecting on 73.1% of their free throw attempts. They concede 12.1 assists and 32.2 rebounds per contest, which is 112th and 43rd in college basketball. The Aggies are ranked 103rd in the country in PPG surrendered with 69.4. They are able to force 12.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.9% from the floor (138th in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Air Force

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