Air Force Falcons vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/27/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 27, 2024

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons (8-10) are traveling to Save Mart Center on Saturday where they will go up against the Fresno State Bulldogs (8-11).

The Air Force Falcons faced off with UNLV and took home the win by a score of 90-58 in their last contest. Air Force ended the game having earned a 55.4% FG percentage (31 out of 56) and converted 14 out of their 28 three-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Falcons converted 14 of their 17 shots for a rate of 82.4%. When talking about grabbing boards, they earned a total of 34 with 5 of them being offensive. They also distributed 25 dimes in this game as well as forcing 7 turnovers and getting 3 steals. Pertaining to defense, Air Force allowed 31.6% from the floor on 18 out of 57 shooting. UNLV earned 12 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. Furthermore, UNLV collected 27 rebounds (10 offensive, 17 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. UNLV finished the contest at 73.9% at the free throw line by making 17 of their 23 tries. They converted 5 of 28 shots from distance. In the matter of personal fouls, the Falcons finished with 20 and UNLV racked up 16 personal fouls.

Ethan Taylor is someone who was a factor for the contest. He left the arena with 22 points on 7 out of 15 shooting. He played 38 minutes played and grabbed 5 boards. He shot 46.7% from the floor and earned 3 dimes.

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Air Force comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 8-10 this year. They are losing possession via turnover 12.7 times per contest and as a team they commit 17.2 personal fouls per game. As a team, Air Force is pulling down 31.3 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 283 dimes on the season, which ranks 107th in college basketball in terms of passing. The Falcons are hitting 37.3% on 3-point shots (155 of 416) and 67.8% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 68.7 points per game (308th in college hoops) while connecting on 46.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Falcons are forcing 12.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.4 personal fouls. They currently rank 94th in D-1 in giving up assists with 220 conceded this season. The Falcons defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.8% (429 of 979) and they concede 32.7 boards per contest as a group. They are relinquishing 33.4% from beyond the arc and they are 101st in college basketball in PPG allowed (68.1).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Fresno State Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 72-68 against Boise State. In relation to cleaning the glass, Fresno State permitted Boise State to get 25 in total (9 offensive). They shot 34.8% from 3-point land by going 8 out of 23 and finished the game at 14 out of 20 from the free throw line (70.0%). The Bulldogs permitted Boise State to make 25 of their 54 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.3% in this contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Bulldogs finished the game shooting 28 for 53 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 52.8%. In regard to three-point shots, Fresno State made 6 of their 19 tries (31.6%). They were able to convert 6 of those for a percentage of 85.7%. Boise State had 10 fouls for the matchup which took the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 7 tries. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. The Bulldogs were able to collect 16 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 20 for this game.

Donavan Yap ended up having an impact for the Bulldogs in this game. He scored 17 points in his 28 minutes on the court and accumulated 4 assists in this matchup. He converted 5 of 7 for the game for a rate of 71.4%, and totaled 2 rebounds.

Fresno State has a win-loss record of 8-11 on the year. When it comes to offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 47.4% from the field, which is ranked 55th in the country. Fresno State has accounted for 1,314 points so far this year (69.2 per contest) and they pull down 32.6 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 12.6 times per game (249th in D-1) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.5 times per contest. The Bulldogs have committed 15.3 personal fouls every game and they connect on 65.1% from the free throw line.

The Fresno State defense concedes 38.1% on three-point shots (153 of 402) and opponents are converting on 66.4% of their foul shots. They have allowed 12.5 dimes and 34.2 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 157th and 140th in Division 1. The Bulldogs on the defensive end are ranked 231st in college hoops in PPG allowed with 73.1. They are able to force 10.9 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.4% from the field (303rd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Air Force

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