Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, 1/16/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams
Date: Tuesday, January 16, 2024
Location: Moby Arena in Fort Collins, CO
TV: ESPN+
Odds/Point Spread: Air Force (+17)
The Air Force Falcons (7-8) are en route to Moby Arena on Tuesday where they will take on the Colorado State Rams (13-3). Colorado State is 17-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 134.5.
The Air Force Falcons played San Jose State and ended up losing by a score of 70-67 in their last game. In the matter of fouls, the Falcons finished with 11 while San Jose State had 16 fouls. They buried 9 of their 23 attempts from 3-point land. San Jose State finished the contest at 87.5% at the charity stripe by burying 7 of 8 attempts. On top of that, San Jose State pulled down 28 rebounds (6 offensive, 22 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. San Jose State doled out 12 assists and had 3 steals in this matchup. In regard to defending, Air Force allowed their opponent to shoot 48.2% from the field on 27 of 56 shooting. They also doled out 14 assists in the game in addition to creating 7 turnovers and getting 2 steals. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 23 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Falcons converted 8 of 14 attempts for a rate of 57.1%. Air Force walked away from the contest having earned a 52.1% FG percentage (25 of 48) and converted 9 out of their 21 3-point shots.
Ethan Taylor is one player who played a role for this game. He ended up walking away with 19 points on 7 of 12 shooting. He was on the court for 38 minutes and grabbed 2 rebounds. He ended up going 58.3% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.
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Air Force enters this matchup with a mark of 7-8 for the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.5 times per game and as a unit they are committing 16.9 personal fouls every game. As a team, Air Force is grabbing 30.7 boards per contest and has 224 assists this season, which ranks 191st in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. The Falcons are hitting 36.0% on shots from downtown (124 of 344) and 67.8% from the charity stripe. They average 67.4 points per game (321st in college hoops) on 45.8% from the field.
When they are on defense, the Falcons are forcing 12.7 turnovers every game while drawing 17.7 fouls. They are surrendering 35.0% on 3-point attempts and they rank 81st in D-1 in points per game allowed (67.0). The Falcons defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 43.8% (351 of 801) and they surrender 32.5 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 47th in college basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 179 surrendered so far this season.
In their last game, the Colorado State Rams took a defeat with a final score of 65-58 against Boise State. The Rams were able to corral 24 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 31 for the game. They turned it over 15 times, while getting 5 steals for the matchup. Boise State had 12 personal fouls in this game which took the Rams to the free throw line for 10 tries. They were able to convert 6 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 60.0%. When talking about 3-point attempts, Colorado State made 4 of their 16 tries (25.0%). When the game finished, the Rams ended up shooting 24 for 51 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.1%. The Rams permitted Boise State to make 21 of their 54 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 38.9% in the game. They finished 33.3% from distance by going 6 of 18 and ended up shooting 17 out of 23 at the free throw line (73.9%). In the matter of how they attacked the glass, Colorado State permitted Boise State to snag 28 in all (9 on the offensive glass).
Isaiah Stevens was important for the Rams for the matchup. He racked up 15 points in his 34 minutes on the court and totaled 3 assists in this matchup. He made 6 out of 12 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 4 rebounds.
Colorado State has a win-loss record of 13-3 this year. The Rams commit 16.9 fouls per game and they go 75.8% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 19.8 times per contest (4th in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.7 times per game. Colorado State has tallied 1,307 points this year (81.7 per contest) and they average 32.6 boards per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Rams are shooting 52.0% from the field, which has them ranked 2nd in the nation.
The Colorado State defense gives up 32.1% on shots from distance (105 of 327) and opponents are converting on 74.0% of their free throw attempts. They give up 11.2 assists and 31.6 rebounds per contest, which ranks 63rd and 35th in the nation. The Rams are ranked 109th in college hoops in points allowed per game with 68.6. They are forcing 13.1 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 43.4% from the field (199th in college hoops).
Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Colorado State (-17)
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Additional Resources:
Colorado State Rams - Twitter
Air Force Falcons - Twitter