Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 3/11/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Paradise, NV

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Utah State (+2)

The San Diego State Aztecs (25-6) will take on the Utah State Aggies (25-7) at Thomas & Mack Center on Saturday. San Diego State opens this matchup as 2-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 141.

The Utah State Aggies faced New Mexico and walked away with a win by a score of 91-76 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the Aggies ended up finishing with 23 and New Mexico finished the game with 21 fouls. They also converted 2 of 10 shots from downtown. New Mexico finished the game at 72.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 18 of 25 attempts. On top of that, New Mexico grabbed 32 boards (10 offensive, 22 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. New Mexico doled out 12 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. Pertaining to defending, Utah State allowed 43.8% from the field on 28 of 64 shooting. They also dished out 21 assists in this contest in addition to forcing 14 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In reference to getting rebounds, they collected a total of 34 with 7 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Aggies converted 19 of their 26 attempts for a rate of 73.1%. Utah State ended the game having earned a 48.4% FG percentage (30 out of 62) and buried 12 out of their 24 three-point shots.

Taylor Funk is one player who was a contributor in this contest. He finished the contest at 62.5% from the field and also earned 1 assist. He was on the court for 37 mins played and pulled down 2 rebounds. He recorded 32 points on 10 out of 16 shooting.

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Utah State heads into this game with a mark of 25-7 so far this year. They average 79.4 pts per contest (25th in Division 1) while going 48.6% from the field. The Aggies are connecting on 40.4% on shots from downtown (308 of 763) and 76.8% from the free throw line. As a unit, Utah State is pulling in 35.3 boards per game and is sitting with 546 dimes on the season, which ranks 9th in the nation in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 12.1 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 16.8 fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Aggies are forcing their opponents into 11.3 turnovers per game while drawing 19.0 personal fouls. They are conceding 35.4% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 181st in college hoops in points per game allowed (70.2). The Aggies are giving up a shooting percentage of 42.5% (801 of 1,884) and they relinquish 31.3 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They rank 123rd in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 381 surrendered on the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the San Diego State Aztecs went home victorious with a score of 64-61 against Colorado State. In relation to how they rebounded, San Diego State allowed Colorado State to get 28 in all (7 on the offensive side). They finished 29.4% from 3-point land by going 5 of 17 and finished the game at 12 of 14 from the charity stripe (85.7%). The Aztecs allowed Colorado State to convert 22 of their 57 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.6% in this matchup. Overall, the Aztecs went 21 for 55 from the field which had them sitting at 38.2%. Regarding shots from 3-point land, San Diego State buried 5 out of 19 tries (26.3%). They were able to knock down 17 of those for a rate of 70.8%. Colorado State was called for 18 personal fouls in the game which got the Aztecs to the charity stripe for a total of 24 attempts. They also gave up possession 13 times, while earning 5 steals for the game. The Aztecs earned 27 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 39 in the game.

Lamont Butler was important for the Aztecs in this matchup. He accumulated 16 points in his 33 minutes on the court and had 1 assist for the matchup. He made 5 of 14 for this game for a field goal percentage of 35.7%, and accumulated 5 rebounds.

San Diego State has a mark of 25-6 this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Aztecs are connecting on 45.0% from the field, which ranks 169th in college basketball. San Diego State has earned 2,252 pts on the campaign (72.6 per contest) and they grab 35.6 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 13.6 times per game (140th in college hoops) and they turn it over 12.0 times per game. The Aztecs commit 16.3 personal fouls every game and they connect on 73.1% from the free throw line.

The San Diego State defense concedes 29.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (203 of 681) and opponents are making 74.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 10.9 assists and 30.8 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 46th and 21st in the country. The Aztecs on the defensive side of the court are 34th in college hoops in points given up per game with 64.3. They are forcing 13.4 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 42.0% from the field (78th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Utah State (+2)

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