Troy Trojans vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 12/9/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Saturday, December 9, 2023

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (4-4) are en route to UD Arena on Saturday where they will meet the Dayton Flyers (6-2).

The Troy Trojans took the court against SIU Edwardsville and went home with a win by a final score of 83-60 in their last contest. Troy finished the game with a 50.0% field goal percentage (29 out of 58) and made 10 of their 20 shots from downtown. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Trojans converted 15 of 21 attempts for a percentage of 71.4%. In terms of pulling down boards, they collected a total of 34 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 16 assists for the game while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 11 steals. In the matter of defense, Troy allowed their opponent to shoot 40.7% from the field on 24 of 59 shooting. SIU Edwardsville dished out 3 dimes and had 10 steals for the matchup. In addition, SIU Edwardsville snagged 25 boards (13 offensive, 12 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. SIU Edwardsville finished the game at 57.1% when shooting free throws by converting 8 of 14 tries. They made 4 of 17 attempts from distance. Regarding personal fouls, the Trojans finished with 16 and SIU Edwardsville accounted for 12 personal fouls.

Aamer Muhammad is a player who was a major factor for this game. He went 77.8% from the floor but wasn't able to get a dime. He played for 28 minutes and also collected 3 rebounds. He totaled 21 points on 7 out of 9 shooting.

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Troy heads into this game with a mark of 4-4 on the campaign. They turn it over 15.8 times per contest and as a unit are committing 20.9 fouls every game. As a unit, Troy is grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game and has racked up 121 assists on the year, which ranks 156th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Trojans are hitting 34.5% on 3-point shots (70 of 203) and 69.7% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 84.8 points per outing (26th in D-1) while shooting 44.4% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Trojans are forcing their opponents into 16.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.6 fouls. They rank 44th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 83 relinquished for the year. The Trojans defense is allowing a FG percentage of 40.1% (189 of 471) and they surrender 34.1 rebounds per game as a group. They relinquish 29.0% on shots from downtown and they are 141st in college basketball in opponents points per game (69.3).

The last time they took the court, the Dayton Flyers went home victorious with a score of 76-46 against Grambling. In relation to how they cleaned up the glass, Dayton allowed Grambling to grab 25 in total (11 on the offensive side). They finished 10.5% from beyond the arc via 2 of 19 and ended up shooting 8 out of 10 at the charity stripe (80.0%). The Flyers allowed Grambling to make 18 out of 59 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 30.5% for the game. Overall, the Flyers finished 28 out of 56 from the field which gave them a rate of 50.0%. When talking about shooting from beyond the arc, Dayton buried 14 out of their 28 attempts (50.0%). They were able to convert 6 of the free throws for a clip of 60.0%. Grambling had 13 personal fouls for the contest which took the Flyers to the charity stripe for a total of 10 shots. They coughed it up 12 times, while getting 4 steals for the contest. The Flyers collected 24 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards totaling 35 for the game.

Nate Santos ended up having an impact for the Flyers in this contest. He knocked down 10 of 12 in this game for a field goal percentage of 83.3%, and added 5 rebounds. He racked up 26 points in his 30 mins on the court and totaled 1 assist for the game.

Dayton has a win-loss record of 6-2 so far this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Flyers are shooting 46.8% from the floor, which is ranked 95th in college basketball. Dayton has accumulated 560 points on the campaign (70.0 per contest) and they average 32.0 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 15.5 times per contest (71st in the country) and they are turning it over 12.1 times per contest. The Flyers commit 12.8 fouls every game and they shoot 73.2% from the charity stripe.

The Flyers are ranked 47th in Division 1 in points allowed per game with 64.1. They are forcing their opponents into 11.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.0% from the field (150th in college basketball). The Dayton defense concedes 34.7% on 3-pointers (52 of 150) and opponents are converting on 74.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 11.6 dimes and 32.3 boards every game, ranking them 119th and 65th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dayton

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