Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 2/18/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Saturday, February 18, 2023

Location: Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Toledo Rockets (21-6) are traveling to Stroh Center on Saturday where they will take on the Bowling Green Falcons (10-16).

The Toledo Rockets faced off with Miami and took home the win by a score of 89-71 in their last game. Regarding fouls, the Rockets ended up with 15 while Miami accumulated 28 fouls. They made 6 of their 21 attempts from three-point range. Miami ended up shooting 83.3% when shooting free throws by making 5 of their 6 attempts. Additionally, Miami pulled down 25 rebounds (5 offensive, 20 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Miami doled out 21 assists and had 2 steals for this contest. With regard to defending, Toledo allowed the other team to shoot 50.0% from the floor on 30 of 60 shooting. They also dished out 12 assists in the game while creating 9 turnovers and getting 3 steals. In the matter of hauling in boards, they earned 27 with 10 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Rockets knocked down 30 of 36 shots for a percentage of 83.3%. Toledo ended the game having earned a 50.0% FG percentage (26 out of 52) and converted 7 out of their 18 three-point attempts.

Setric Millner is a player who was a major contributor for this contest. He shot 77.8% from the field but wasn't able to get an assist. He was on the court for 31 mins played and also totaled 2 rebounds. He accumulated 19 points on 7 of 9 shooting.

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Toledo will take the court with a mark of 21-6 so far this season. They turn the ball over 10.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 16.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Toledo is grabbing 35.3 boards per game and has accounted for 403 assists this season, which is 53rd in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Rockets are shooting 37.9% on three-point attempts (224 of 591) and 75.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 84.8 points per outing (3rd in college basketball) while connecting on 48.7% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Rockets have forced 13.2 turnovers every game and they draw 19.4 fouls. They rank 300th in college basketball in giving up assists with 382 surrendered this year. The Rockets defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.6% (759 of 1,664) and they relinquish 34.4 boards per game as a squad. They give up 36.3% on shots from downtown while they are 342nd in college basketball in opponents points per game (76.9).

In their last game, the Bowling Green Falcons took a loss by a final score of 77-74 when they played Central Michigan. Regarding team rebounding, Bowling Green permitted Central Michigan to pull down 28 overall (5 offensive). They finished shooting 50.0% from three-point range by connecting on 9 of 18 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 17 from the free throw line (70.6%). The Falcons permitted Central Michigan to convert 28 of 53 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 52.8% in this game. Overall, the Falcons finished the game shooting 25 out of 57 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.9%. With regard to three-point shots, Bowling Green converted 9 of 19 attempts (47.4%). They were able to knock down 15 of them for a rate of 57.7%. Central Michigan committed 21 fouls in this matchup which got the Falcons to the free throw line for a total of 26 shots. They gave up possession 12 times, while getting 9 steals for this contest. The Falcons were able to corral 20 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 30 in this contest.

Kaden Metheny ended up being a major contributor for the Falcons for this contest. He scored 19 points in his 28 mins on the court, but wasn't able to tally an assist. He converted 8 out of 14 for the contest for a field goal rate of 57.1%, and tallied 2 rebounds.

Bowling Green has a mark of 10-16 so far this year. The Falcons are committing 17.7 fouls per contest and they shoot 72.6% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 13.8 times per contest (134th in the nation) and they turn it over 11.9 times per game. Bowling Green has accounted for 1,989 pts on the year (76.5 per contest) and they grab 36.0 boards per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Falcons are connecting on 45.4% from the field, which has them ranked 133rd in the nation.

The Bowling Green defense concedes 35.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (215 of 599) and opponents are converting on 70.8% of their foul shots. They have given up 14.6 assists and 35.0 rebounds per game, ranking them 312th and 242nd in those defensive categories. The Falcons on the defensive end are ranked 352nd in college basketball in PPG allowed with 78.1. They are forcing 11.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.5% from the floor (328th in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toledo

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