TCU Horned Frogs vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/28/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 28, 2023

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN2

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-8) will go up against the TCU Horned Frogs (16-4) at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday.

The TCU Horned Frogs faced Oklahoma and walked away with a win by a score of 79-52 in their last contest. With respect to personal fouls, the Horned Frogs finished with 16 while Oklahoma racked up 19 personal fouls. They made 5 of their 19 attempts from downtown. Oklahoma finished 70.0% from the charity stripe by burying 7 of 10 shots. Furthermore, Oklahoma had 34 rebounds (10 offensive, 24 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Oklahoma distributed 13 dimes and had 3 steals in this matchup. In the matter of the defense, TCU let their opponent shoot 31.3% from the field on 20 out of 64 shooting. They also dished out 14 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 8 steals. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they collected 43 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Horned Frogs converted 21 of their 29 shots for a percentage of 72.4%. TCU ended with a 42.6% FG percentage (26 out of 61) and made 6 of their 17 three-point shots.

Mike Miles is one player who was a factor for the matchup. He accounted for 23 points on 6 of 9 shooting. He saw the court for 28 mins and grabbed 3 rebounds. He finished the contest at 66.7% from the floor but finished the game without a dime.

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TCU comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 16-4 for the season. They lose possession via turnover 12.1 times per game and as a group they commit 15.3 personal fouls per contest. As a team, TCU is snagging 37.3 boards per game and has earned 325 dimes this season, which ranks 39th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Horned Frogs are hitting 30.0% on shots from 3-point land (106 of 353) and 71.3% from the charity stripe. They average 77.7 points per outing (54th in the nation) while hitting 46.4% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Horned Frogs are forcing 16.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.6 fouls. They are giving up 29.5% on shots from distance and they are 51st in the country in PPG allowed (64.3). The Horned Frogs are allowing a FG percentage of 40.5% (476 of 1,175) and they surrender 34.6 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are ranked 186th in the country in allowing assists to their opponents with 260 conceded for the season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 66-63 against Alabama. The Bulldogs were able to snag 23 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 31 for the matchup. They turned it over 15 times, while getting 8 steals in this contest. Alabama committed 15 fouls in the matchup which took the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 12 tries. They were able to make 8 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 66.7%. When discussing shots from distance, Mississippi State converted 3 of their 15 tries (20.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Bulldogs went 26 for 56 from the floor which had them shooting 46.4%. The Bulldogs permitted Alabama to knock down 21 of 57 tries from the field which had them shooting 36.8% in the game. They went 17.9% from behind the 3-point line by going 5 of 28 and ended up shooting 19 out of 22 at the free throw line (86.4%). In relation to rebounding, Mississippi State permitted Alabama to collect 30 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Tolu Smith ended up having an impact for the Bulldogs for the game. He tallied 15 points in his 21 minutes on the court and tallied 3 assists in the matchup. He made 6 out of 9 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and accounted for 7 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a win-loss record of 12-8 on the campaign. The Bulldogs commit 14.6 personal fouls every game and they hit 61.5% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 13.9 times per game (130th in the country) and they turn it over 12.3 times per game. Mississippi State has totaled 1,297 points so far this year (64.9 per contest) and they snag 38.2 boards per game. As an offense, the Bulldogs are shooting 40.7% from the floor, which ranks them 338th in the nation.

The Bulldogs on defense are ranked 7th in college hoops in points allowed per game with 58.7. They are able to force 15.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 38.9% from the floor (13th in college basketball). The Mississippi State defense surrenders 31.4% on shots from distance (148 of 472) and their opposition knocks down 74.3% of their foul shots. They have allowed 12.1 dimes and 34.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 136th and 213th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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