St. Mary's Gaels vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 11/17/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Mary's Gaels vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Friday, November 17, 2023

Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

T-Mobile Arena is the site where the San Diego State Aztecs (2-1) will meet the St. Mary's Gaels (2-1) on Friday.

The St. Mary's Gaels took the court against Weber State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 61-57 in their last game. St. Mary's wrapped up the contest with a 40.0% field goal percentage (22 out of 55) and made 5 of 27 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Gaels buried 8 of 12 shots for a rate of 66.7%. In regard to pulling down boards, they earned 36 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 12 assists for the contest as well as forcing 7 turnovers and getting 1 steal. When talking about defense, St. Mary's allowed 40.4% from the floor on 23 of 57 shooting. Weber State totaled 6 dimes and had 7 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Weber State collected 22 rebounds (3 offensive, 19 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Weber State shot 81.8% at the charity stripe by converting 9 of their 11 tries. They buried 6 of 21 tries from long range. When talking about fouls, the Gaels finished with 15 and Weber State had 14 fouls.

Aidan Mahaney is one guy who was a major factor for this contest. He totaled 11 points on 4 out of 14 shooting. He was on the court for 38 mins played but finished the game without a rebound. He finished the game at 28.6% from the field and distributed 3 assists.

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St. Mary's heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 2-1 for the year. They average 78.7 points per game (158th in college basketball) while connecting on 48.0% from the field. The Gaels are connecting on 27.7% from downtown (18 of 65) and 69.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, St. Mary's is snagging 47.0 boards per game and has accounted for 50 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 81st in the country in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.0 times per contest and as a unit are committing 14.7 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Gaels are able to force 13.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.7 fouls. They are relinquishing 22.8% on three-point shots while they are 6th in the nation in points per game allowed (49.0). The Gaels are giving up a FG percentage of 31.1% (55 of 177) and they relinquish 28.3 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 21st in D-1 in allowing assists with 17 surrendered on the campaign.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the San Diego State Aztecs walked away with a victory by a final of 88-76 against Long Beach State. In reference to attacking the glass, San Diego State allowed Long Beach State to get 22 overall (3 on the offensive glass). They went 41.2% from three-point range by going 7 of 17 and finished the contest at 15 of 20 at the free throw line (75.0%). The Aztecs permitted Long Beach State to make 27 out of their 54 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.0% for the contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Aztecs ended up shooting 28 for 58 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.3%. In relation to shots from beyond the perimeter, San Diego State made 9 out of their 24 attempts (37.5%). They were able to bury 23 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 76.7%. Long Beach State earned 25 personal fouls in this game which took the Aztecs to the charity stripe for a total of 30 attempts. They also turned it over 15 times, while getting 11 steals for the game. The Aztecs were able to collect 22 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 for this game.

Jaedon Ledee ended up being a factor for the Aztecs for the game. He made 8 of 12 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and added 11 rebounds. He had 27 points in his 34 minutes on the court and tallied 2 assists in the matchup.

San Diego State has a win-loss record of 2-1 on the season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Aztecs are shooting 46.1% from the field, which is 148th in college hoops. San Diego State has accounted for 236 points on the year (78.7 per contest) and they collect 36.0 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 16.3 times per game (96th in college basketball) and they turn it over 15.0 times per game. The Aztecs commit 19.3 fouls per contest and they go 69.0% from the charity stripe.

The San Diego State defense gives up 32.4% on 3-point shots (22 of 68) and their opponents are connecting on 72.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 10.7 dimes and 36.0 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 128th and 204th in those categories on the defensive end. The Aztecs on the defensive end are ranked 187th in college basketball in PPG allowed with 69.0. They are able to force 16.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 41.5% from the floor (189th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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