Santa Clara Broncos vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 1/21/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Santa Clara Broncos vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Saturday, January 21, 2023

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: fuboTV

The Santa Clara Broncos (15-5) are on their way to University Credit Union Pavilion on Saturday where they will compete against the St. Mary's Gaels (16-4).

The Santa Clara Broncos took the court against Pacific and went home with a win by a final score of 92-81 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Broncos walked away with 21 and Pacific finished the game with 15 fouls. They also knocked down 10 out of their 24 shots from long range. Pacific shot 73.9% from the charity stripe by making 17 of their 23 tries. On top of that, Pacific grabbed 21 rebounds (3 offensive, 18 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Pacific doled out 14 dimes and had 9 steals for this contest. When discussing defense, Santa Clara let their opponent shoot 43.5% from the floor on 27 out of 62 shooting. They also dished out 9 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and having 6 steals. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 38 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Broncos converted 17 of their 20 shots for a percentage of 85.0%. Santa Clara walked away from the contest having earned a 47.8% FG percentage (33 out of 69) and converted 9 out of their 28 three-point shots.

Keshawn Justice is someone who was important in this matchup. He finished shooting 42.1% from the floor and also recorded 1 assist. He was on the court for 37 minutes played and also snagged 2 rebounds. He ended up scoring 26 points on 8 out of 19 shooting.

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Santa Clara comes into this matchup with a mark of 15-5 this year. They cough up possession 13.0 times per game and as a team they commit 14.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Santa Clara is pulling down 40.3 boards per game and has racked up 277 assists on the season, which has them ranked 76th in the nation in terms of passing. The Broncos are connecting on 35.0% on shots from 3-point land (162 of 463) and 73.4% from the charity stripe. They average 75.2 pts per game (113th in college hoops) while shooting 43.8% from the floor.

On defense, the Broncos are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 35.3% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 217th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (70.5). The Broncos are giving up a shooting percentage of 42.6% (526 of 1,235) and they surrender 32.9 boards per contest as a team. They are ranked 328th in D-1 in allowing assists with 282 conceded so far this year.

When they last stepped on the court, the St. Mary's Gaels took home the win by a final score of 78-61 when they played San Francisco. The Gaels were able to pull down 24 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds totaling 28 for this contest. They turned the ball over 7 times, while earning 8 steals in this contest. San Francisco had 13 fouls for the contest which got the Gaels to the free throw line for a total of 12 attempts. They were able to make 7 of them for a percentage of 58.3%. In the matter of three-point attempts, St. Mary's buried 11 out of 21 attempts (52.4%). When this game wrapped up, the Gaels ended up going 30 out of 59 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.8%. The Gaels allowed San Francisco to make 22 of their 52 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.3% for the game. They shot 38.1% from three-point range by hitting 8 out of 21 and ended up shooting 9 out of 12 from the free throw line (75.0%). In regard to team rebounding, St. Mary's allowed San Francisco to collect 26 overall (5 offensive).

Logan Johnson was important for the Gaels in this matchup. He made 10 out of 15 in this contest for a rate of 66.7%, and earned 7 rebounds. He accumulated 24 points in his 39 minutes on the hardwood and added 6 assists for this contest.

St. Mary's has a record of 16-4 for the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Gaels are hitting on 46.5% from the field, which ranks them 78th in the country. St. Mary's has accumulated 1,436 points on the campaign (71.8 per contest) and they collect 36.9 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 12.9 times per contest (222nd in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.8 times per game. The Gaels have committed 16.5 personal fouls per game and they hit 65.4% from the charity stripe.

The Gaels defensively are ranked 5th in college basketball in PPG given up with 57.8. They have forced 13.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 39.6% from the floor (33rd in the nation). The St. Mary's defense gives up 30.5% from downtown (100 of 328) and their opposition makes 73.8% of their foul shots. They give up 7.4 assists and 28.8 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 2nd and 2nd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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