San Diego State Aztecs vs UConn Huskies Prediction, 4/3/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs UConn Huskies

Date: Monday, April 3, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego State (+9)

The San Diego State Aztecs (32-6) are traveling to NRG Stadium on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the UConn Huskies (30-8). San Diego State opens as 9-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 131.

The San Diego State Aztecs faced Florida Atlantic and notched a win by a score of 72-71 in their last contest. San Diego State walked away from the game with a 43.9% FG percentage (25 out of 57) and made 9 of their 18 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Aztecs made 13 of their 22 shots for a percentage of 59.1%. When it comes to pulling down boards, they collected 35 with 12 of them being offensive. They also recorded 8 assists in this contest while creating 9 turnovers and having 3 steals. In the matter of defense, San Diego State allowed the other team to shoot 44.2% from the floor on 23 out of 52 shooting. Florida Atlantic totaled 6 assists and had 6 steals for the matchup. In addition, Florida Atlantic grabbed 31 rebounds (7 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't have a block. Florida Atlantic shot 76.2% at the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 21 attempts. They knocked down 9 of their 22 attempts from beyond the perimeter. When talking about personal fouls, the Aztecs ended up finishing with 17 and Florida Atlantic racked up 17 personal fouls.

Matt Bradley is one guy who played a role in the game. He accounted for 21 points on 5 of 12 shooting. He played 32 minutes played and also pulled down 6 rebounds. He ended up going 41.7% from the floor and distributed 2 assists.

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San Diego State enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 32-6 on the campaign. They cough up possession 11.6 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 16.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, San Diego State is pulling in 36.4 boards per game and has tallied 497 dimes on the campaign, which is 61st in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Aztecs are hitting 35.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (265 of 755) and 72.1% from the free throw line. They average 71.5 pts per contest (183rd in the country) while connecting on 44.1% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Aztecs have forced 12.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.9 fouls. They surrender 28.2% on three-point shots and they are ranked 25th in D-1 in opponents points per game (63.1). The Aztecs defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 40.9% (855 of 2,093) and they relinquish 32.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are ranked 132nd in D-1 in giving up assists with 400 conceded for the campaign.

For their last game, the UConn Huskies got the victory with a final of 72-59 against Miami. With respect to cleaning up the glass, UConn allowed Miami to grab 29 in total (12 on the offensive glass). They shot 35.0% from behind the 3-point line via 7 of 20 and finished the game at 12 out of 12 from the free throw line (100.0%). The Huskies permitted Miami to bury 20 of their 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 32.3% in this matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Huskies went 28 out of 57 from the field which gave them a percentage of 49.1%. In relation to shots from downtown, UConn buried 9 out of 26 attempts (34.6%). They were able to convert 7 of those for a percentage of 53.8%. Miami was called for 12 fouls for the contest which took the Huskies to the free throw line for 13 shots. They coughed up the ball 14 times, while earning 5 steals for this contest. The Huskies recorded 27 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 40 in the game.

Adama Sanogo ended up being a major contributor for the Huskies in this matchup. He earned 21 points in his 26 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 1 assist for this contest. He knocked down 9 of 11 for the matchup for a rate of 81.8%, and totaled 10 rebounds.

UConn has a record of 30-8 this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Huskies are connecting on 46.4% from the field, which has them ranked 67th in the nation. UConn has totaled 2,988 points on the season (78.6 per game) and they average 39.3 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 17.7 times per game (4th in Division 1) and they are turning it over 12.9 times per game. The Huskies commit 17.8 fouls every game and they connect on 75.6% from the free throw line.

The UConn defense allows 29.8% on 3-pointers (188 of 630) and opponents are connecting on 73.4% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 9.2 assists and 30.0 boards per contest, which ranks them 8th and 7th in those categories. The Huskies are ranked 34th in college basketball in PPG surrendered with 64.3. They are able to force 12.7 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.1% from the floor (18th in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take UConn (-9)

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