Samford Bulldogs vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 11/6/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Samford Bulldogs vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Monday, November 6, 2023

Location: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN

TV: BTN

Mackey Arena is the site where the Purdue Boilermakers (29-6 last year) will attempt to beat the Samford Bulldogs (21-11 last season) on Monday.

The Samford Bulldogs took the court against Chattanooga and took a loss by a score of 85-82 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Bulldogs ended up with 23 while Chattanooga had 25 personal fouls. They also made 15 out of their 28 attempts from 3-point land. Chattanooga walked away from this one shooting 64.5% at the charity stripe by burying 20 of their 31 attempts. In addition, Chattanooga snagged 33 boards (4 offensive, 29 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Chattanooga distributed 18 dimes and had 4 steals for the game. When it comes to defense, Samford allowed 51.0% from the floor on 25 out of 49 shooting. They also doled out 10 dimes for the matchup as well as forcing 16 turnovers and getting 11 steals. When talking about grabbing boards, they collected 22 with 3 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bulldogs knocked down 24 of 35 shots for a percentage of 68.6%. Samford finished the contest with a 42.6% FG percentage (23 out of 54) and converted 12 of 31 3-pointers.

Jermaine Marshall is one guy who came through in this game. He ended up shooting 63.6% from the field and earned 1 assist. He saw the court for 28 minutes played and also collected 8 rebounds. He recorded 27 points on 7 of 11 shooting.

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Samford comes into this matchup after finishing with a mark of 21-11 last year. They averaged 78.7 points per contest (28th in the nation) while going 45.4% from the floor. The Bulldogs shot 35.3% on 3-point shots (290 of 822) and 74.7% from the free throw line. As a group, Samford grabbed 35.5 boards per game and earned 374 assists over the course of last year, which had them ranked 292nd in college basketball in terms of passing the ball. They coughed up possession 12.7 times per game and as a unit committed 18.7 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Bulldogs were able to force their opponents into 14.6 turnovers per game while drawing 20.3 personal fouls. They were ranked 238th in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 440 surrendered throughout last season. The Bulldogs defense gave up a shooting percentage of 43.2% (770 of 1,783) and they relinquished 33.3 boards per game as a group. They surrendered 36.7% on shots from distance while they were 228th in Division 1 in opponents points per game (71.6).

When they last stepped on the court, the Purdue Boilermakers took a loss by a final score of 63-58 when they faced Fairleigh Dickinson. The Boilermakers earned 25 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 36 for the contest. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while earning 3 steals for the game. Fairleigh Dickinson committed 19 personal fouls for this game which got the Boilermakers to the free throw line for a total of 19 shots. They were able to knock down 15 of those for a clip of 78.9%. When discussing shooting from 3-point land, Purdue buried 5 of their 26 attempts (19.2%). When the final whistle was blown, the Boilermakers shot 19 out of 53 from the field which gave them a percentage of 35.8%. The Boilermakers permitted Fairleigh Dickinson to convert 24 out of 62 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 38.7% for this contest. They went 30.4% from 3-point land by going 7 out of 23 and ended up going 8 of 10 at the charity stripe (80.0%). In regard to cleaning the glass, Purdue permitted Fairleigh Dickinson to pull down 28 overall (9 offensive).

Zach Edey pitched in for the Boilermakers in this matchup. He made 7 of 11 in this game for a rate of 63.6%, and added 15 rebounds. He recorded 21 points in his 36 mins of playing time and tallied 1 assist in the matchup.

Purdue had a mark of 29-6 last season. The Boilermakers committed 13.7 fouls per contest and they connected on 74.4% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates was at 15.5 times per game (32nd in college basketball) and they turned it over 11.1 times per contest. Purdue scored 2,543 points last season (72.7 per game) and they averaged 38.7 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Boilermakers connected on 45.7% from the floor, which ranked 103rd in college basketball.

The Boilermakers were ranked 22nd in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 62.7. They forced their opponents into 9.9 turnovers per game and let teams shoot 41.6% from the floor (60th in D-1). The Purdue defense surrendered 31.4% on 3-pointers (225 of 717) and their opponents knocked down 73.8% of their free throw shots. They surrendered 12.3 dimes and 27.9 rebounds every game, which had them ranked 150th and 1st in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Samford

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