Sam Houston State Bearkats vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 3/19/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023

Location: The Super Pit in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Sam Houston State (+5)

The Super Pit is the site where the North Texas Mean Green (27-7) will play the Sam Houston State Bearkats (26-7) on Sunday. North Texas opens this contest as 5-point favorites. The total comes in at 119.

The Sam Houston State Bearkats took the court against Santa Clara and walked away with a win by a score of 58-56 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Bearkats ended up with 13 while Santa Clara accumulated 12 fouls. They also made 7 out of their 17 attempts from three-point range. Santa Clara ended up going 70.0% from the charity stripe by converting 7 of their 10 shots. Moreover, Santa Clara snagged 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Santa Clara earned 12 assists and had 4 steals for this game. In regard to the defense, Sam Houston State allowed their opponent to shoot 39.6% from the field on 21 out of 53 shooting. They also doled out 10 assists for the game as well as creating 17 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 25 with 6 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bearkats buried 5 of 6 shots for a rate of 83.3%. Sam Houston State walked away from the contest with a 44.4% field goal percentage (24 out of 54) and made 5 of their 18 3-point shots.

Qua Grant is a player who was a contributor for this game. He ended up scoring 21 points on 8 out of 15 shooting. He played for 36 mins and also snagged 3 rebounds. He shot 53.3% from the field and dished out 6 dimes.

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Sam Houston State will play this contest with a mark of 26-7 this season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.2 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 18.0 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Sam Houston State is snagging 36.9 rebounds per game and has accumulated 451 dimes on the campaign, which is 122nd in college basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Bearkats are shooting 38.2% from downtown (270 of 707) and 68.3% from the free throw line. They are averaging 72.7 points per game (155th in college basketball) while going 45.8% from the field.

On defense, the Bearkats are able to force 16.8 turnovers every game and they draw 16.4 fouls. They are relinquishing 32.1% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 4th in the country in points per game allowed (58.8). The Bearkats defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 38.8% (641 of 1,654) and they relinquish 30.5 boards per game as a basketball team. They currently rank 51st in college hoops in giving up assists with 357 surrendered so far this season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the North Texas Mean Green walked away with a victory by a final of 69-53 when they faced Alcorn State. The Mean Green were able to corral 24 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 in this matchup. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while getting 5 steals for this contest. Alcorn State was called for 15 fouls for the game which got the Mean Green to the free throw line for a total of 23 shots. They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 73.9%. When discussing shooting from beyond the arc, North Texas buried 8 of their 26 attempts (30.8%). When all was said and done, the Mean Green went 22 out of 50 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.0%. The Mean Green permitted Alcorn State to knock down 17 out of their 55 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 30.9% for this game. They shot 31.3% from downtown by shooting 5 out of 16 and finished the contest at 14 of 22 at the charity stripe (63.6%). Concerning attacking the glass, North Texas allowed Alcorn State to pull down 34 in total (14 offensive).

Tylor Perry ended up being a major contributor for the Mean Green for this contest. He had 21 points in his 34 mins of playing time and accumulated 2 dimes in this game. He buried 6 of 12 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 6 rebounds.

North Texas has a record of 27-7 for the year. The Mean Green commit 16.4 personal fouls per game and they connect on 75.0% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 11.3 times per contest (318th in college basketball) and they are turning it over 11.9 times per contest. North Texas has totaled 2,188 pts for the year (64.4 per contest) and they collect 33.7 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Mean Green are shooting 43.6% from the floor, which is 238th in the nation.

The Mean Green are ranked 1st in the nation in PPG allowed with 55.6. They are able to force 12.4 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 39.5% from the field (10th in college hoops). The North Texas defense allows 30.6% on 3-point attempts (170 of 556) and their opponents are knocking down 69.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 7.7 dimes and 28.9 boards every game, which has them ranked 1st and 3rd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take North Texas (-5)

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