Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 1/16/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Monday, January 16, 2023

Location: Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI

TV: Youtube TV

Odds/Point Spread: Purdue (-5)

Breslin Center is the site where the Michigan State Spartans (12-5) will try to defeat the Purdue Boilermakers (16-1) on Monday. Michigan State is -5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 133.5.

The Purdue Boilermakers played Nebraska and earned the victory with a final of 73-55 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Boilermakers ended up finishing with 13 and Nebraska had 19 personal fouls. They also buried 7 of 16 attempts from beyond the arc. Nebraska went 66.7% from the charity stripe by knocking down 2 of 3 shots. Moreover, Nebraska collected 18 rebounds (4 offensive, 14 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Nebraska totaled 9 dimes and had 5 steals for the contest. When discussing defense, Purdue allowed the other team to go 43.4% from the field on 23 of 53 shooting. They also dished out 12 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When it comes to grabbing boards, they earned 37 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Boilermakers buried 16 of 20 shots for a rate of 80.0%. Purdue finished the game with a 44.2% field goal percentage (23 out of 52) and knocked down 11 of their 29 shots from 3-point land.

Fletcher Loyer is a player who was a factor in this game. He walked away from this one shooting 53.3% from the floor and recorded 3 assists. He was on the court for 34 minutes but wasn't able to snag any boards. He was able to score 27 points on 8 of 15 shooting.

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Purdue will play this contest with a record of 16-1 for the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.8 times per contest and as a group are committing 13.3 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Purdue is pulling down 40.5 rebounds per contest and has racked up 261 dimes this season, which ranks 104th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Boilermakers are shooting 32.6% on shots from 3-point land (130 of 399) and 75.5% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 75.8 points per game (101st in college hoops) while hitting 45.9% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Boilermakers have forced 10.2 turnovers every game while drawing 19.2 fouls. They concede 30.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 23rd in the country in points per game allowed (61.1). The Boilermakers defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 39.9% (404 of 1,012) and they surrender 28.2 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They currently rank 76th in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 198 surrendered on the year.

In their last game, the Michigan State Spartans took a loss by a final score of 75-66 against Illinois. The Spartans snagged 27 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards totaling 39 in this contest. They gave up possession 9 times, while getting 2 steals for this contest. Illinois earned 10 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Spartans to the charity stripe for 13 attempts. They were able to bury 10 of the free throws for a rate of 76.9%. In reference to shots from beyond the perimeter, Michigan State knocked down 0 of 7 tries (0.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Spartans finished 28 out of 65 from the floor which had them sitting at 43.1%. The Spartans allowed Illinois to knock down 27 out of their 60 tries from the floor which had them at 45.0% for the game. They finished shooting 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 6 of 18 and ended up going 15 of 18 at the free throw line (83.3%). In relation to cleaning up the glass, Michigan State permitted Illinois to snag 29 overall (8 offensive).

A.J. Hoggard pitched in for the Spartans for the matchup. He knocked down 8 out of 16 in the game giving him a rate of 50.0%, and had 4 rebounds. He racked up 20 points in his 30 minutes of playing time and accumulated 1 assist for this contest.

Michigan State has a record of 12-5 for the campaign. The Spartans commit 16.0 fouls per contest and they shoot 75.7% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 15.5 times per game (52nd in college basketball) and they turn the ball over 11.1 times per game. Michigan State has accumulated 1,191 points this year (70.1 per game) and they grab 38.1 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Spartans are hitting on 44.5% from the floor, which ranks 185th in the nation.

The Spartans defensively are ranked 83rd in Division 1 in points given up per game with 65.5. They are able to force 9.6 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.4% from the field (53rd in Division 1). The Michigan State defense concedes 30.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter (120 of 400) and opponents are connecting on 70.9% of their foul shots. They concede 12.3 assists and 32.4 boards every game, ranking them 154th and 87th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Purdue (-5)

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