Pittsburgh Panthers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 3/14/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Panthers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Tuesday, March 14, 2023

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: truTV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+2)

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) will take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (22-11) at UD Arena on Tuesday. Mississippi State opens this contest as 2-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 132.5.

The Pittsburgh Panthers stepped onto the hardwood against Duke and took a loss by a score of 96-69 in their last contest. With respect to personal fouls, the Panthers walked away with 14 while Duke racked up 19 personal fouls. They converted 11 out of their 26 shots from three-point range. Duke finished the game at 72.2% at the charity stripe by converting 13 of 18 tries. Moreover, Duke grabbed 28 boards (7 offensive, 21 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Duke earned 27 dimes and had 7 steals in this contest. With regard to the defense, Pittsburgh allowed 62.1% from the field on 36 out of 58 shooting. They also recorded 11 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing 8 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they earned 23 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Panthers converted 20 of their 24 shots for a rate of 83.3%. Pittsburgh finished the game with a 42.3% FG percentage (22 out of 52) and knocked down 5 of 18 shots from distance.

Nike Sibande is someone who was a factor in the game. He finished 54.5% from the floor and also earned 1 assist. He saw the court for 27 minutes played and also pulled down 7 rebounds. He was able to score 17 points on 6 out of 11 shooting.

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Pittsburgh comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 22-11 for the season. They are averaging 76.1 pts per contest (77th in college hoops) while shooting 45.3% from the floor. The Panthers are hitting 36.0% from downtown (304 of 845) and 76.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Pittsburgh is collecting 36.2 rebounds per game and is sitting with 475 dimes for the campaign, which is 75th in D-1 in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 11.2 times per game and as a group they commit 16.2 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Panthers are able to force 11.4 turnovers per game and they draw 17.8 personal fouls. They are 245th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 436 relinquished so far this season. The Panthers defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 42.6% (824 of 1,936) and they concede 33.8 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are giving up 33.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 191st in college basketball in points per game allowed (70.5).

When they last stepped on the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took home the win by a final score of 69-68 against Florida. In reference to rebounding, Mississippi State allowed Florida to pull down 32 in total (8 on the offensive side). They finished 22.9% from beyond the perimeter by going 8 of 35 and finished the game at 10 out of 17 from the free throw line (58.8%). The Bulldogs permitted Florida to bury 25 out of 62 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.3% for the contest. Overall, the Bulldogs went 25 out of 64 from the field which had them sitting at 39.1%. In terms of shots from beyond the perimeter, Mississippi State made 2 of their 14 tries (14.3%). They were able to make 17 of them for a percentage of 60.7%. Florida committed 20 personal fouls for the contest which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 28 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 18 times, while recording 10 steals in this contest. The Bulldogs were able to pull down 28 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive rebounds totaling 42 for this game.

Tolu Smith ended up being a factor for the Bulldogs in the game. He earned 28 points in his 35 mins of playing time, but went home with no dimes. He knocked down 9 of 19 in the matchup giving him a rate of 47.4%, and accounted for 12 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a record of 21-12 for the year. When it comes to offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 42.3% from the field, which has them ranked 300th in college basketball. Mississippi State has totaled 2,175 points this year (65.9 per game) and they snag 37.5 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 14.2 times per contest (102nd in college hoops) and they turn the ball over 12.7 times per contest. The Bulldogs are responsible for committing 15.1 fouls every game and they go 64.7% from the free throw line.

The Bulldogs on defense are ranked 10th in the country in points per game surrendered with 61.0. They are able to force 14.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 39.4% from the field (10th in the country). The Mississippi State defense surrenders 30.8% on 3-point attempts (243 of 790) and their opponents are knocking down 71.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 12.5 assists and 33.6 total rebounds per game, which ranks 171st and 155th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mississippi State (-2)

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