Ole Miss Rebels vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, 3/9/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Tennessee Volunteers
Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN
TV: SECN
Odds/Point Spread: Ole Miss (+11)
The Tennessee Volunteers (22-9) will compete against the Ole Miss Rebels (11-20) at Bridgestone Arena on Thursday. Tennessee opens this matchup as 11-point favorites. The over/under is set at 128.5.
The Ole Miss Rebels faced off with Missouri and took a loss by a score of 82-77 in their last game. Regarding fouls, the Rebels ended up with 16 while Missouri totaled 15 fouls. They also converted 7 of their 23 shots from downtown. Missouri finished the game shooting 84.6% from the charity stripe by making 11 of 13 tries. In addition, Missouri had 24 boards (7 offensive, 17 defensive), but didn't have a block. Missouri earned 15 assists and had 11 steals for the game. In reference to the defense, Ole Miss allowed 55.2% from the field on 32 of 58 shooting. They also distributed 14 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and having 8 steals. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 29 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Rebels converted 16 of their 18 tries for a rate of 88.9%. Ole Miss wrapped up the game with a 50.9% FG percentage (28 out of 55) and made 5 out of their 22 shots from downtown.
Jaemyn Brakefield is one guy who was important for the contest. He scored 18 points on 5 out of 7 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 37 minutes played and totaled 4 rebounds. He finished the game at 71.4% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist.
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Ole Miss heads into this contest with a win-loss mark of 11-20 for the year. They are averaging 67.9 pts per contest (278th in D-1) while shooting 42.3% from the field. The Rebels are shooting 29.7% on three-point shots (187 of 629) and 69.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Ole Miss is grabbing 36.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 405 dimes for the campaign, which is 190th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 16.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis.
On the defensive end, the Rebels are forcing their opponents into 12.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 15.6 personal fouls. They surrender 33.9% on 3-point attempts and they rank 150th in the country in PPG allowed (69.3). The Rebels are giving up a FG percentage of 43.7% (770 of 1,762) and they surrender 34.1 boards per game as a basketball team. They are ranked 248th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 429 relinquished on the campaign.
The last time they took the court, the Tennessee Volunteers took a loss by a score of 79-70 when they faced Auburn. The Volunteers were able to pull down 22 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 30 for this contest. They coughed it up 9 times, while earning 3 steals in this contest. Auburn earned 16 fouls in the matchup which took the Volunteers to the free throw line for 19 tries. They were able to bury 12 of them for a percentage of 63.2%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, Tennessee knocked down 8 out of their 17 tries (47.1%). Overall, the Volunteers went 25 out of 53 from the field which gave them a rate of 47.2%. The Volunteers permitted Auburn to convert 28 out of 57 attempts from the field which left them shooting 49.1% in the game. They finished 36.4% from distance by going 8 of 22 and ended up shooting 15 of 20 from the charity stripe (75.0%). When talking about cleaning the glass, Tennessee allowed Auburn to snag 28 in total (7 on the offensive glass).
Santiago Vescovi was important for the Volunteers in this contest. He knocked down 8 out of 13 for this game for a field goal rate of 61.5%, and totaled 5 rebounds. He recorded 21 points in his 39 mins of playing time and accounted for 4 assists for this game.
Tennessee has a record of 22-9 this year. The Volunteers commit 17.0 fouls per contest and they hit 70.8% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 17.1 times per game (9th in college basketball) and they are giving up possession 11.9 times per game. Tennessee has scored 2,228 points on the season (71.9 per contest) and they pull in 38.9 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Volunteers are hitting on 43.5% from the field, which ranks 254th in the nation.
The Volunteers on the defensive side of the court are 3rd in D-1 in points allowed per game with 57.5. They are forcing 15.1 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 36.4% from the floor (1st in D-1). The Tennessee defense surrenders 25.5% on 3-pointers (173 of 679) and opponents are converting on 72.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 9.5 dimes and 32.3 boards every game, which is 9th and 75th in the country.
Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tennessee (-11)
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Additional Resources:
Tennessee Volunteers - Twitter
Ole Miss Rebels - Twitter