Ohio State Buckeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 3/11/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Ohio State (+7)

The Ohio State Buckeyes (15-18) are traveling to United Center on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Purdue Boilermakers (26-5). Ohio State opens this matchup as 7-point underdogs. The total is set at 139.

The Ohio State Buckeyes stepped onto the hardwood against Iowa and walked away with a win by a score of 73-69 in their last game. Ohio State finished the game having earned a 49.2% FG percentage (29 out of 59) and knocked down 7 of their 18 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Buckeyes made 8 of 10 attempts for a rate of 80.0%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they earned 26 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 17 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 10 steals. Regarding defending, Ohio State let their opponent shoot 46.4% from the floor on 26 out of 56 shooting. Iowa earned 11 assists and had 3 steals in this game. On top of that, Iowa totaled 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Iowa finished the contest at 81.3% at the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of 16 shots. They also made 4 out of their 17 shots from downtown. In the matter of fouls, the Buckeyes ended up finishing with 16 and Iowa finished the game with 12 fouls.

Bruce Thornton is a player who was a major factor for the contest. He finished the game at 61.5% from the floor and also recorded 6 assists. He was on the hardwood for 34 mins played and also collected 1 rebound. He totaled 17 points on 8 out of 13 shooting.

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Ohio State heads into this game with a mark of 15-18 for the season. They are turning it over 10.9 times per game and as a group are committing 16.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Ohio State is pulling in 36.3 boards per contest and has 382 assists for the campaign, which is 264th in the nation in terms of passing. The Buckeyes are connecting on 36.1% on shots from 3-point land (219 of 607) and 74.2% from the free throw line. They have an average of 72.8 pts per game (154th in the nation) while going 46.3% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Buckeyes are forcing 10.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 15.5 fouls. They are giving up 32.1% on shots from distance and they rank 143rd in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (69.0). The Buckeyes defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 42.9% (830 of 1,933) and they relinquish 32.9 boards per contest as a team. They are 181st in college basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 405 relinquished for the season.

When they last played, the Purdue Boilermakers went home victorious with a score of 76-71 when they played Illinois. The Boilermakers corralled 16 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 28 in the matchup. They also coughed it up 11 times, while recording 11 steals in this game. Illinois committed 23 personal fouls for the game which got the Boilermakers to the free throw line for 28 attempts. They were able to make 20 of the free throws for a rate of 71.4%. When it comes to shooting from beyond the arc, Purdue buried 6 of 18 tries (33.3%). When this game wrapped up, the Boilermakers finished 25 out of 53 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.2%. The Boilermakers permitted Illinois to make 24 out of their 50 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 48.0% in this matchup. They finished 31.8% from three-point range by shooting 7 out of 22 and walked away from this one shooting 16 of 24 from the free throw line (66.7%). With respect to cleaning the glass, Purdue permitted Illinois to pull down 28 in total (10 on the offensive glass).

Brandon Newman pitched in for the Boilermakers in this matchup. He racked up 19 points in his 34 minutes of playing time and had 5 dimes for this game. He buried 5 of 10 in the matchup giving him a rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 6 rebounds.

Purdue has a record of 26-5 on the campaign. The Boilermakers are committing 13.5 fouls per game and they go 74.7% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.3 times per game (41st in college basketball) and they are giving up possession 11.2 times per contest. Purdue has accumulated 2,268 pts on the year (73.2 per game) and they snag 38.7 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Boilermakers are shooting 46.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 90th in D-1.

The Boilermakers on the defensive side of the court are 21st in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 62.5. They have forced 10.1 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.7% from the floor (60th in college basketball). The Purdue defense allows 31.1% on 3-point shots (195 of 628) and their opposition makes 73.1% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 12.2 assists and 27.6 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 141st and 1st in college basketball.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Purdue (-7)

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