North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 1/10/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Location: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, VA

TV: Youtube TV

The North Carolina Tar Heels (11-5) are on their way to John Paul Jones Arena on Tuesday where they will take on the Virginia Cavaliers (11-3).

The North Carolina Tar Heels took the court against Notre Dame and walked away with a win by a score of 81-64 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Tar Heels finished with 15 while Notre Dame totaled 16 personal fouls. They also made 7 of their 18 attempts from distance. Notre Dame finished the game shooting 50.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 7 of 14 shots. Moreover, Notre Dame pulled down 29 boards (6 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Notre Dame earned 11 assists and had 5 steals in this matchup. Pertaining to defense, North Carolina allowed 41.7% from the floor on 25 out of 60 shooting. They also recorded 19 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing 8 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In reference to hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 42 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Tar Heels buried 11 of 19 tries for a percentage of 57.9%. North Carolina ended the game having earned a 47.7% FG percentage (31 of 65) and converted 8 out of their 19 3-point attempts.

Armando Bacot is a player who was a major factor for the matchup. He finished the game shooting 52.9% from the field and recorded 4 assists. He played for 31 minutes and collected 13 rebounds. He finished with 21 points on 9 out of 17 shooting.

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North Carolina comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 11-5 this year. They currently have an average of 81.4 pts per contest (23rd in D-1) on 46.2% from the field. The Tar Heels are hitting 31.9% on 3-pointers (107 of 335) and 73.5% from the free throw line. As a unit, North Carolina is pulling in 39.8 rebounds per contest and has earned 214 assists so far this year, which is 192nd in Division 1 in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 11.3 times per contest and as a squad are committing 16.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Tar Heels are forcing their opponents into 11.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.6 fouls. They currently rank 230th in Division 1 in giving up assists with 212 relinquished for the season. The Tar Heels defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 43.4% (448 of 1,033) and they relinquish 35.3 boards per contest as a basketball team. They give up 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 310th in college basketball in points per game allowed (74.3).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Virginia Cavaliers got the win with a final of 73-66 when they faced Syracuse. The Cavaliers collected 21 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 28 in the matchup. They coughed up the ball 10 times, while getting 11 steals for the matchup. Syracuse was called for 20 fouls in the game which got the Cavaliers to the charity stripe for a total of 22 shots. They were able to bury 15 of the free throws for a percentage of 68.2%. When it comes to shots from distance, Virginia buried 12 out of their 26 tries (46.2%). Overall, the Cavaliers ended up going 23 out of 53 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.4%. The Cavaliers permitted Syracuse to convert 24 of their 54 tries from the field which left them shooting 44.4% for the game. They shot 57.1% from beyond the arc by going 8 of 14 and finished the contest at 10 of 15 at the charity stripe (66.7%). When discussing rebounding, Virginia permitted Syracuse to grab 34 in total (8 on the offensive glass).

Armaan Franklin was important for the Cavaliers in this game. He buried 4 out of 11 in this game for a rate of 36.4%, and totaled 6 rebounds. He tallied 16 points in his 34 minutes on the court and had 3 assists for the game.

Virginia has a win-loss mark of 11-3 for the year. The Cavaliers commit 14.7 fouls every game and they go 70.7% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 16.4 times per contest (30th in the country) and they are giving up possession 9.9 times per contest. Virginia has scored 980 points for the season (70.0 per game) and they pull in 32.5 boards per contest. As an offensive unit, the Cavaliers are shooting 45.8% from the field, which is ranked 118th in the nation.

The Virginia defense gives up 34.8% from downtown (98 of 282) and their opposition makes 73.5% of their foul shots. They concede 10.9 dimes and 31.9 total rebounds per game, which ranks 60th and 57th in the nation. The Cavaliers on defense are ranked 15th in college hoops in PPG given up with 59.6. They are able to force 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 40.4% from the field (63rd in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take North Carolina

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