North Carolina Tar Heels vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Prediction, 2/19/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack

Date: Sunday, February 19, 2023

Location: PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC

TV: ESPN

The NC State Wolfpack (20-7) are welcoming the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-10) at PNC Arena on Sunday.

The North Carolina Tar Heels stepped onto the hardwood against Miami and took a loss by a score of 80-72 in their last game. North Carolina ended having earned a 43.9% field goal percentage (29 out of 66) and converted 5 out of their 31 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Tar Heels made 9 of 15 attempts for a rate of 60.0%. Pertaining to grabbing boards, they earned a total of 30 with 9 of them being offensive. They also distributed 6 dimes for this contest while forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When it comes to defending, North Carolina allowed the other team to go 46.4% from the field on 26 out of 56 shooting. Miami dished out 9 assists and had 5 steals for the contest. Additionally, Miami pulled down 35 boards (6 offensive, 29 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Miami ended up going 84.6% from the free throw line by knocking down 22 of their 26 shots. They made 6 of 13 attempts from beyond the arc. In reference to personal fouls, the Tar Heels ended up walking away with 21 and Miami had 15 personal fouls.

RJ Davis is a guy who came through for the contest. He finished shooting 50.0% from the field and also dished out 2 assists. He was on the hardwood for 36 minutes and also snagged 5 rebounds. He recorded 23 points on 9 of 18 shooting.

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North Carolina comes into this game with a record of 16-10 on the campaign. They are averaging 78.2 pts per contest (40th in the nation) while hitting 44.3% from the field. The Tar Heels are connecting on 30.6% on shots from 3-point land (178 of 582) and 73.6% from the free throw line. As a team, North Carolina is snagging 39.3 boards per game and has accounted for 319 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 279th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 10.8 times per game and as a team they commit 17.2 fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Tar Heels are forcing their opponents into 11.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 85th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 302 conceded for the year. The Tar Heels are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.7% (699 of 1,600) and they concede 34.7 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They give up 33.8% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 262nd in college basketball in PPG from their opponents (72.5).

The last time they took the court, the NC State Wolfpack took a defeat with a final score of 75-72 against Syracuse. With respect to team rebounding, North Carolina State allowed Syracuse to get 33 in total (7 offensive). They wrapped up this game 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 5 out of 15 and finished the game at 16 out of 17 at the charity stripe (94.1%). The Wolfpack allowed Syracuse to make 27 out of 62 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.5% in this matchup. Overall, the Wolfpack ended up going 30 out of 72 from the field which had them shooting 41.7%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, North Carolina State buried 9 of their 34 tries (26.5%). They were able to convert 3 of the free throws for a rate of 60.0%. Syracuse committed 11 fouls in this game which took the Wolfpack to the charity stripe for 5 tries. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 8 steals in this matchup. The Wolfpack corralled 27 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards for a total of 42 for the game.

D.J. Burns ended up being a factor for the Wolfpack for the matchup. He accumulated 15 points in his 24 minutes of playing time and accounted for 4 assists for the game. He buried 7 of 10 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 70.0%, and accounted for 3 rebounds.

North Carolina State has a win-loss record of 20-7 so far this season. The Wolfpack commit 17.4 personal fouls per game and they hit 71.9% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 13.7 times per contest (148th in college basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.0 times per game. North Carolina State has totaled 2,124 points for the season (78.7 per contest) and they average 37.7 boards per game. As an offense, the Wolfpack are hitting on 45.0% from the field, which is ranked 166th in the nation.

The North Carolina State defense gives up 30.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter (151 of 491) and opponents are connecting on 71.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 11.6 dimes and 34.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 102nd and 222nd in those defensive categories. The Wolfpack defensively are ranked 170th in D-1 in points given up per game with 69.2. They are able to force 13.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.7% from the field (203rd in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take North Carolina State

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