North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 2/27/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Monday, February 27, 2023

Location: Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: North Carolina (-8)

The Florida State Seminoles (9-20) will compete against the North Carolina Tar Heels (18-11) at Donald L. Tucker Center on Monday. North Carolina opens this matchup as -8-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 152.5.

The North Carolina Tar Heels faced off with Virginia and went home with a win by a final score of 71-63 in their last game. North Carolina finished the contest with a 46.8% field goal percentage (22 of 47) and converted 10 out of their 22 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Tar Heels knocked down 17 of their 22 tries for a percentage of 77.3%. With respect to grabbing boards, they collected 37 with 3 of them being offensive. They also doled out 12 assists for this game in addition to creating 3 turnovers and having 1 steal. In reference to the defense, North Carolina let their opponent shoot 39.7% from the floor on 27 of 68 shooting. Virginia dished out 14 assists and had 7 steals for this game. Furthermore, Virginia pulled down 32 rebounds (9 offensive, 23 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Virginia ended up going 45.5% from the free throw line by knocking down 5 of their 11 attempts. They also knocked down 4 out of their 12 tries from beyond the perimeter. In reference to fouls, the Tar Heels walked away with 14 while Virginia recorded 18 fouls.

Pete Nance is someone who was a major contributor for this game. He walked away from this one shooting 70.0% from the field and earned 2 assists. He saw the court for 34 mins played and collected 2 rebounds. He walked away with 22 points on 7 out of 10 shooting.

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North Carolina comes into this game with a win-loss record of 18-11 so far this season. They have an average of 77.1 points per contest (56th in D-1) while connecting on 43.6% from the field. The Tar Heels are connecting on 30.4% on shots from beyond the arc (197 of 648) and 74.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, North Carolina is collecting 39.9 boards per contest and has earned 347 dimes this year, which ranks 288th in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.8 times per game and as a team they are committing 17.0 personal fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Tar Heels are forcing their opponents into 10.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.1 personal fouls. They are conceding 33.5% from beyond the arc while they are 239th in the country in PPG allowed (71.8). The Tar Heels are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 43.5% (781 of 1,797) and they concede 34.5 boards per game as a group. They rank 87th in the nation in allowing assists to the opposition with 335 surrendered on the season.

In their last game, the Florida State Seminoles took home the win by a final score of 85-84 when they played Miami. When talking about how they cleaned up the glass, Florida State permitted Miami to get 29 overall (6 on the offensive side). They shot 42.1% from three-point range by shooting 8 out of 19 and walked away from this one shooting 8 out of 11 from the free throw line (72.7%). The Seminoles allowed Miami to make 34 of 64 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 53.1% for the matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Seminoles walked away from this one shooting 33 for 63 from the field which gave them a rate of 52.4%. In regard to shooting from 3-point land, Florida State made 7 of 20 tries (35.0%). They were able to convert 12 of those for a rate of 85.7%. Miami had 12 fouls for the matchup which got the Seminoles to the free throw line for a total of 14 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while getting 10 steals in this contest. The Seminoles pulled down 24 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards for a total of 29 in the matchup.

Matthew Cleveland was important for the Seminoles for this game. He scored 20 points in his 29 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to earn an assist. He converted 8 out of 15 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 53.3%, and totaled 5 rebounds.

Florida State has a record of 9-20 for the year. As an offensive unit, the Seminoles are hitting on 43.7% from the floor, which ranks 242nd in D-1. Florida State has totaled 2,033 pts on the year (70.1 per game) and they pull in 31.3 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 13.8 times per contest (143rd in the country) and they turn the ball over 12.3 times per game. The Seminoles are committing 16.4 personal fouls per game and they connect on 73.9% from the free throw line.

The Florida State defense gives up 37.0% on shots from behind the 3-point line (253 of 683) and opponents are connecting on 75.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 14.7 assists and 35.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 320th and 272nd in college hoops. The Seminoles defensively are ranked 336th in college basketball in points given up per game with 76.5. They are able to force 12.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.5% from the field (295th in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take North Carolina (-8)

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