New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, 3/9/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies

Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Paradise, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: New Mexico (+3)

The New Mexico Lobos (21-10) are traveling to Thomas & Mack Center on Thursday where they will take on the Utah State Aggies (24-7). Utah State opens this game as 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 165.5.

The New Mexico Lobos faced off with Colorado State and took a loss by a final of 92-84 in their last contest. New Mexico ended the game having earned a 44.8% FG percentage (30 of 67) and made 6 of their 17 shots from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, the Lobos made 18 of their 23 attempts for a rate of 78.3%. When it comes to grabbing boards, they compiled 24 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 11 assists in this contest while forcing 12 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In relation to the defense, New Mexico allowed 58.2% from the field on 32 of 55 shooting. Colorado State distributed 22 assists and had 1 steal in this contest. In addition, Colorado State collected 35 boards (9 offensive, 26 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Colorado State finished the game at 81.0% at the free throw line by converting 17 of 21 shots. They also converted 11 of their 20 shots from distance. In reference to personal fouls, the Lobos ended up walking away with 19 and Colorado State accumulated 17 personal fouls.

Morris Udeze is someone who played a role for the contest. He finished shooting 72.7% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist. He played 35 minutes and totaled 7 boards. He ended up walking away with 25 points on 8 out of 11 shooting.

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New Mexico will play this game with a record of 21-10 on the year. They average 81.2 pts per game (13th in the nation) on 48.6% from the field. The Lobos are shooting 36.3% on shots from beyond the arc (183 of 504) and 74.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, New Mexico is pulling in 37.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 427 dimes for the campaign, which is 145th in D-1 in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 11.3 times per game and as a team they are committing 16.9 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Lobos are forcing 12.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.0 personal fouls. They rank 261st in college basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 434 surrendered on the year. The Lobos are giving up a FG percentage of 43.4% (826 of 1,903) and they relinquish 34.5 boards per contest as a team. They are giving up 32.7% on 3-point attempts while they are 279th in college basketball in opponents PPG (73.4).

In their last game, the Utah State Aggies went home victorious with a score of 86-73 when they played Boise State. Regarding team rebounding, Utah State permitted Boise State to snag 29 in all (9 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 33.3% from 3-point land by shooting 7 out of 21 and ended up shooting 16 out of 19 at the charity stripe (84.2%). The Aggies allowed Boise State to bury 25 of their 56 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 44.6% in the game. In all, the Aggies ended up going 32 out of 56 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 57.1%. In the matter of shooting from downtown, Utah State buried 7 out of their 20 attempts (35.0%). They were able to convert 15 of them for a percentage of 88.2%. Boise State committed 16 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Aggies to the charity stripe for a total of 17 tries. They gave up possession 9 times, while earning 6 steals for this contest. The Aggies were able to corral 22 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 27 in this contest.

Taylor Funk ended up having an impact for the Aggies for the game. He tallied 24 points in his 29 minutes of playing time and accounted for 1 assist for this game. He converted 9 out of 12 in this contest for a field goal rate of 75.0%, and added 8 rebounds.

Utah State has a mark of 24-7 so far this season. The Aggies commit 16.6 fouls every game and they go 77.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 16.9 times per game (10th in college basketball) and they turn it over 12.0 times per game. Utah State has accounted for 2,451 pts this year (79.1 per contest) and they collect 35.2 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Aggies are shooting 48.6% from the field, which is 16th in D-1.

The Aggies defensively are ranked 181st in college basketball in points allowed per contest with 70.0. They are able to force 11.2 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 42.5% from the floor (109th in college hoops). The Utah State defense gives up 35.6% on shots from distance (223 of 626) and opponents are converting on 75.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 11.9 dimes and 31.1 boards per contest, which has them ranked 118th and 31st in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New Mexico (+3)

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