New Mexico Lobos vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 11/9/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Thursday, November 9, 2023

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN+

The New Mexico Lobos (1-0) are en route to University Credit Union Pavilion on Thursday where they will try to beat the St. Mary's Gaels (1-0).

The New Mexico Lobos stepped onto the hardwood against Texas Southern and went home with a win by a final score of 92-55 in their last game. Regarding personal fouls, the Lobos finished with 17 and Texas Southern finished the game with 20 personal fouls. They also knocked down 5 of their 24 shots from beyond the perimeter. Texas Southern walked away from this one shooting 52.6% at the free throw line by knocking down 10 of their 19 shots. In addition, Texas Southern snagged 33 boards (10 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't have a block. Texas Southern dished out 9 dimes and had 5 steals for this contest. In reference to the defense, New Mexico let their opponent shoot 29.4% from the field on 20 of 68 shooting. They also recorded 20 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 9 steals. In relation to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 45 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Lobos made 22 of 27 attempts for a rate of 81.5%. New Mexico wrapped up the contest with a 44.8% field goal percentage (30 out of 67) and made 10 out of their 23 3-point attempts.

Jamal Mashburn is one guy who was a factor for the contest. He ended up going 50.0% from the field and distributed 5 dimes. He played 27 minutes and also snagged 3 rebounds. He walked away with 15 points on 5 out of 10 shooting.

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New Mexico will enter this game with a record of 1-0 on the campaign. They are turning it over 9.0 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 17.0 personal fouls per game. As a unit, New Mexico is collecting 53.0 boards per game and has accounted for 20 assists on the year, which is 53rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Lobos are shooting 43.5% on shots from beyond the arc (10 of 23) and 81.5% from the charity stripe. They average 92.0 points per contest (73rd in college basketball) while hitting 44.8% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Lobos are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game while drawing 20.0 fouls. They are conceding 20.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 84th in Division 1 in PPG from their opponents (55.0). The Lobos defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 29.4% (20 of 68) and they concede 37.0 boards per game as a team. They rank 126th in college basketball in allowing assists with 9 surrendered for the season.

When they last played, the St. Mary's Gaels took home the win by a final score of 107-28 when they played Cal St. Stanislaus. In reference to rebounding, St. Mary's allowed Cal St. Stanislaus to collect 16 in total (6 offensive). They wrapped up this game 12.5% from downtown by shooting 3 of 24 and ended up going 7 out of 8 from the free throw line (87.5%). The Gaels allowed Cal St. Stanislaus to bury 9 out of their 58 tries from the field which had them shooting 15.5% for this contest. At the conclusion of this game, the Gaels finished the game shooting 39 for 69 from the field which had them at 56.5%. Pertaining to shots from beyond the perimeter, St. Mary's converted 7 of their 21 attempts (33.3%). They were able to knock down 22 of the free throw tries for a clip of 75.9%. Cal St. Stanislaus had 21 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Gaels to the charity stripe for 29 tries. They also turned it over 8 times, while recording 10 steals for the game. The Gaels were able to corral 38 defensive boards and 20 offensive boards totaling 58 in this game.

Mason Forbes pitched in for the Gaels for this contest. He made 8 out of 10 for the contest giving him a rate of 80.0%, and had 7 rebounds. He had 19 points in his 18 minutes of playing time, but left the arena with no assists.

St. Mary's has a win-loss mark of 1-0 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the court, the Gaels are shooting 56.5% from the floor, which ranks them 26th in the nation. St. Mary's has scored 107 pts on the year and they pull in 59.0 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 22.0 times per game (27th in the nation) and they lose possession via turnover 8.0 times per game. The Gaels commit 11.0 fouls per contest and they hit 75.9% from the charity stripe.

The Gaels defensively are ranked 25th in D-1 in PPG surrendered with 28.0. They are forcing their opponents into 17.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 15.5% from the floor (25th in Division 1). The St. Mary's defense allows 12.5% on shots from 3-point land (3 of 24) and their opponents are converting on 87.5% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 1.0 dimes and 22.0 boards per contest, ranking them 25th and 34th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New Mexico

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