Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 3/11/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide
Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN
TV: ESPN
Odds/Point Spread: Missouri (+9)
The Alabama Crimson Tide (26-5) will take on the Missouri Tigers (23-8) at Bridgestone Arena on Saturday. Missouri opens this matchup as 9-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 158.5.
The Missouri Tigers stepped onto the hardwood against Ole Miss and notched a win by a score of 82-77 in their last game. Concerning personal fouls, the Tigers left the arena with 15 and Ole Miss racked up 16 personal fouls. They also converted 5 out of their 22 shots from beyond the perimeter. Ole Miss finished shooting 88.9% at the charity stripe by converting 16 of 18 attempts. Additionally, Ole Miss grabbed 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Ole Miss earned 14 dimes and had 8 steals for the contest. Concerning defending, Missouri allowed the other team to go 50.9% from the field on 28 out of 55 shooting. They also doled out 15 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and earning 11 steals. With regard to rebounding, they earned 24 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Tigers made 11 of 13 shots for a rate of 84.6%. Missouri wrapped up the contest with a 55.2% field goal percentage (32 out of 58) and made 7 out of their 23 shots from downtown.
Kobe Brown is someone who was a contributor in the matchup. He left the arena with 17 points on 5 out of 8 shooting. He played for 26 mins and also snagged 7 rebounds. He shot 62.5% from the floor and totaled 1 assist.
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Missouri will enter this matchup with a mark of 23-8 this season. They are losing possession via turnover 11.5 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 18.3 fouls every game. As a team, Missouri is collecting 30.5 rebounds per game and has racked up 507 dimes for the year, which is 29th in the country in terms of passing. The Tigers are connecting on 36.2% on shots from beyond the arc (292 of 806) and 75.6% from the charity stripe. They average 80.1 pts per contest (21st in the nation) while hitting 47.7% from the floor.
When they are on defense, the Tigers are forcing 17.3 turnovers every game while drawing 16.8 fouls. They concede 35.5% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 310th in college hoops in points per game allowed (74.8). The Tigers defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 44.4% (783 of 1,764) and they relinquish 37.3 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They currently rank 285th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 450 surrendered so far this season.
In their last game, the Alabama Crimson Tide walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 67-61 against Texas A&M. The Crimson Tide earned 25 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards for a total of 40 for the game. They also turned it over 17 times, while getting 6 steals in this contest. Texas A&M was called for 14 personal fouls in this contest which took the Crimson Tide to the charity stripe for a total of 11 shots. They were able to make 10 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 90.9%. When discussing three-point attempts, Alabama converted 7 of 36 attempts (19.4%). Overall, the Crimson Tide ended up going 22 out of 65 from the floor which gave them a rate of 33.8%. The Crimson Tide allowed Texas A&M to knock down 18 out of 53 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 34.0% in this matchup. They finished 25.0% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 4 of 16 and ended up going 27 of 28 at the free throw line (96.4%). Regarding attacking the glass, Alabama permitted Texas A&M to grab 30 overall (4 offensive).
Brandon Miller pitched in for the Crimson Tide for this game. He buried 7 of 23 for this contest giving him a rate of 30.4%, and had 10 rebounds. He tallied 19 points in his 36 mins on the court and had 2 dimes for the game.
Alabama has a win-loss mark of 26-5 this season. The Crimson Tide are committing 18.9 fouls every game and they hit 72.8% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 14.9 times per contest (62nd in Division 1) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.3 times per contest. Alabama has accounted for 2,568 points on the campaign (82.8 per game) and they collect 44.3 boards per game. As an offense, the Crimson Tide are connecting on 44.8% from the field, which is 176th in college hoops.
The Crimson Tide on the defensive end are ranked 158th in the country in points per game surrendered with 69.5. They are able to force 12.0 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 37.7% from the floor (3rd in the country). The Alabama defense allows 28.4% on shots from distance (175 of 617) and their opponents are converting on 70.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 10.3 assists and 37.2 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 20th and 330th in those categories on the defensive end.
Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Missouri (+9)
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Additional Resources:
Alabama Crimson Tide - Twitter
Missouri Tigers - Twitter