Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 3/4/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023

Location: Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville, TN

TV: SECN

The Vanderbilt Commodores (17-13) will try to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-10) at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) on Saturday.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs faced off with South Carolina and walked away with a win by a score of 74-68 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Bulldogs finished with 13 while South Carolina totaled 19 personal fouls. They also converted 6 of 20 shots from downtown. South Carolina finished the contest at 94.1% from the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 17 shots. In addition, South Carolina snagged 29 boards (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. South Carolina distributed 14 assists and had 2 steals for this game. Concerning defense, Mississippi State allowed the other team to shoot 44.2% from the field on 23 out of 52 shooting. They also recorded 18 assists for the matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and having 9 steals. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they earned 27 with 8 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Bulldogs converted 19 of 24 attempts for a rate of 79.2%. Mississippi State ended the contest with a 50.0% FG percentage (26 out of 52) and made 3 out of their 14 shots from downtown.

Shakeel Moore is one guy who was a factor in the game. He accumulated 20 points on 9 of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 34 mins but ended the game without a board. He finished the contest at 60.0% from the field and also dished out 2 dimes.

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Mississippi State will enter this matchup with a win-loss record of 20-10 so far this year. They have an average of 66.2 points per outing (318th in the nation) while shooting 42.7% from the field. The Bulldogs are shooting 27.4% on shots from 3-point land (165 of 602) and 64.8% from the free throw line. As a team, Mississippi State is pulling down 36.9 boards per contest and has 437 assists on the campaign, which is 85th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 12.5 times per game and as a unit are committing 15.1 personal fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Bulldogs are able to force 14.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. They are 143rd in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 368 relinquished so far this year. The Bulldogs defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 39.0% (629 of 1,613) and they relinquish 33.6 boards per game as a basketball team. They concede 30.3% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 8th in the nation in opponents points per game (59.9).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Vanderbilt Commodores got the win with a final of 68-66 when they played Kentucky. The Commodores were able to snag 23 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 in this matchup. They turned it over 8 times, while recording 6 steals for this game. Kentucky committed 12 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Commodores to the free throw line for a total of 13 tries. They were able to make 10 of the free throws for a clip of 76.9%. In terms of shooting from 3-point land, Vanderbilt buried 8 out of 24 tries (33.3%). In all, the Commodores went 25 out of 62 from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.3%. The Commodores permitted Kentucky to bury 19 out of 59 tries from the field which left them shooting 32.2% for the contest. They finished 15.8% from distance by connecting on 3 out of 19 and ended up shooting 25 of 35 at the free throw line (71.4%). When talking about rebounding, Vanderbilt permitted Kentucky to get 45 overall (15 on the offensive glass).

Jordan Wright was important for the Commodores for this game. He totaled 23 points in his 28 mins of playing time and added 2 dimes for this contest. He knocked down 8 out of 12 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and had 4 rebounds.

Vanderbilt has a mark of 17-13 this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Commodores are hitting on 42.1% from the floor, which ranks them 309th in the country. Vanderbilt has scored 2,156 pts for the season (71.9 per game) and they grab 37.2 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 11.9 times per contest (281st in the country) and they are giving up possession 10.7 times per contest. The Commodores are responsible for committing 16.4 fouls per contest while shooting 71.0% from the charity stripe.

The Commodores on the defensive end are ranked 234th in the nation in PPG surrendered with 71.7. They have forced 9.9 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.2% from the floor (147th in college hoops). The Vanderbilt defense gives up 31.5% on 3-point shots (210 of 667) and opponents are converting on 70.9% of their free throw shots. They have given up 13.0 assists and 36.1 boards per game, which is 209th and 302nd in college basketball.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Vanderbilt

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