Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 2/18/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, February 18, 2023

Location: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford, MS

TV: SECN

The Ole Miss Rebels (10-16) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-9) at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss on Saturday.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs stepped onto the hardwood against Kentucky and took a loss by a final of 71-68 in their last game. In regard to fouls, the Bulldogs finished with 18 and Kentucky finished the game with 19 fouls. They converted 6 of 20 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Kentucky finished the game at 75.0% from the free throw line by converting 15 of their 20 tries. Moreover, Kentucky snagged 33 rebounds (14 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Kentucky totaled 19 dimes and had 7 steals for the matchup. When talking about defense, Mississippi State allowed their opponent to shoot 45.5% from the floor on 25 out of 55 shooting. They also dished out 15 assists in this matchup while creating 9 turnovers and earning 6 steals. With respect to hauling in boards, they compiled a total of 22 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the free throw line, the Bulldogs buried 14 of 19 attempts for a percentage of 73.7%. Mississippi State ended the game having earned a 50.0% FG percentage (24 out of 48) and made 6 of 20 3-point shots.

Tolu Smith is a guy who was a contributor in the matchup. He notched 22 points on 8 out of 9 shooting. He was on the court for 33 mins played and collected 5 rebounds. He went 88.9% from the field and also dished out 1 assist.

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Mississippi State will play this contest with a win-loss mark of 17-9 for the campaign. They have an average of 65.7 points per contest (324th in college basketball) while connecting on 42.5% from the floor. The Bulldogs are shooting 28.6% on shots from downtown (149 of 521) and 62.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Mississippi State is snagging 36.9 rebounds per game and has accounted for 379 dimes for the campaign, which is 91st in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 12.4 times per game and as a team they are committing 14.8 personal fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Bulldogs have forced 15.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.2 fouls. They are giving up 30.6% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 6th in the nation in points per game from their opponents (59.2). The Bulldogs defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 39.0% (546 of 1,399) and they concede 33.8 boards per contest as a group. They rank 135th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 316 relinquished for the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Ole Miss Rebels took a loss by a score of 79-64 when they faced Florida. When discussing how they cleaned up the glass, Ole Miss permitted Florida to pull down 27 overall (2 on the offensive glass). They went 58.8% from beyond the perimeter by hitting 10 out of 17 and ended up shooting 11 of 18 at the free throw line (61.1%). The Rebels permitted Florida to knock down 29 of 49 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 59.2% for the game. When the final whistle was blown, the Rebels went 25 for 63 from the field which had them shooting 39.7%. In reference to three-point attempts, Ole Miss converted 3 of their 12 tries (25.0%). They were able to bury 11 of the free throws for a clip of 61.1%. Florida committed 11 fouls in this game which took the Rebels to the charity stripe for a total of 18 shots. They also coughed it up 11 times, while recording 5 steals for this game. The Rebels earned 22 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 in this matchup.

Jaemyn Brakefield was important for the Rebels in this matchup. He made 5 out of 9 for this contest for a rate of 55.6%, and added 8 rebounds. He totaled 14 points in his 35 mins of playing time and accumulated 1 assist in this contest.

Ole Miss has a record of 10-16 on the year. In terms of offensive execution, the Rebels are shooting 42.2% from the field, which has them ranked 301st in the country. Ole Miss has tallied 1,750 pts this season (67.3 per contest) and they snag 36.5 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 12.8 times per game (217th in D-1) and they turn the ball over 12.3 times per contest. The Rebels commit 16.3 fouls per game and they shoot 69.2% from the free throw line.

The Rebels are ranked 144th in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 68.5. They are able to force 12.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.2% from the floor (159th in college basketball). The Ole Miss defense surrenders 35.6% on three-point shots (174 of 489) and opponents are knocking down 71.9% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 13.6 dimes and 34.2 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 251st and 195th in college basketball.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ole Miss

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