Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 2/11/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Saturday, February 11, 2023

Location: Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, AR

TV: ESPN+

Bud Walton Arena is where the Arkansas Razorbacks (17-7) will go up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-8) on Saturday.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs took the court against Missouri and notched a win by a score of 63-52 in their last game. Mississippi State walked away from the contest having earned a 42.0% field goal percentage (21 of 50) and converted 3 of their 20 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Bulldogs made 18 of 25 tries for a rate of 72.0%. With regard to rebounding, they compiled a total of 35 with 9 of them being offensive. They also doled out 15 assists for this game while forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and earning 9 steals. In regard to the defense, Mississippi State let their opponent shoot 32.0% from the field on 16 of 50 shooting. Missouri earned 10 dimes and had 4 steals for this contest. On top of that, Missouri grabbed 32 boards (8 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Missouri finished 66.7% at the free throw line by knocking down 14 of their 21 attempts. They also converted 6 of their 23 shots from beyond the arc. Concerning fouls, the Bulldogs walked away with 17 while Missouri had 16 fouls.

Tolu Smith is someone who was a factor in the matchup. He ended up shooting 66.7% from the field and totaled 2 dimes. He played 35 minutes and collected 12 boards. He was able to score 25 points on 8 of 12 shooting.

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Mississippi State enters this contest with a mark of 15-8 so far this season. They turn it over 12.6 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 14.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Mississippi State is snagging 38.0 rebounds per contest and has earned 334 assists for the season, which is 128th in college hoops in terms of passing. The Bulldogs are shooting 27.6% on 3-point shots (131 of 475) and 62.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 65.5 pts per contest (327th in D-1) while shooting 41.6% from the floor.

Defensively, the Bulldogs are able to force 15.5 turnovers every game and they draw 17.3 fouls. They are surrendering 30.8% on shots from distance while they are 6th in the nation in PPG from their opponents (58.7). The Bulldogs defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 38.5% (480 of 1,248) and they concede 34.2 boards per game as a team. They are 87th in college hoops in giving up assists with 272 conceded this season.

The last time they took the court, the Arkansas Razorbacks got the victory with a final of 88-73 when they faced Kentucky. Regarding team rebounding, Arkansas allowed Kentucky to pull down 25 overall (9 on the offensive side). They finished 30.8% from downtown by connecting on 4 out of 13 and ended up shooting 11 of 18 from the charity stripe (61.1%). The Razorbacks allowed Kentucky to make 29 of their 62 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.8% for the game. Overall, the Razorbacks shot 32 for 51 from the floor which had them at 62.7%. Regarding three-point attempts, Arkansas converted 4 of their 9 attempts (44.4%). They were able to knock down 20 of them for a clip of 83.3%. Kentucky committed 17 fouls in this matchup which got the Razorbacks to the charity stripe for a total of 24 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 10 steals for this game. The Razorbacks earned 20 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 24 for the matchup.

Ricky Council ended up being a factor for the Razorbacks in this matchup. He racked up 20 points in his 35 minutes on the court and accounted for 4 assists in this game. He knocked down 5 of 9 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 55.6%, and accounted for 3 rebounds.

Arkansas has a record of 17-7 for the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Razorbacks are connecting on 48.0% from the field, which has them ranked 27th in college hoops. Arkansas has tallied 1,799 points on the campaign (75.0 per game) and they grab 35.8 boards per contest. They are getting an assist 13.6 times per contest (152nd in college basketball) and they are giving up possession 13.3 times per game. The Razorbacks are committing 18.8 fouls every game and they hit 70.3% from the charity stripe.

The Arkansas defense concedes 31.4% on 3-pointers (130 of 414) and their opponents are connecting on 69.5% of their free throw shots. They have given up 9.8 assists and 32.2 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 16th and 73rd in college basketball. The Razorbacks are ranked 62nd in college hoops in points allowed per game with 65.5. They are able to force 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 41.2% from the floor (64th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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