Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 3/10/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Friday, March 10, 2023

Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-11) are traveling to Bridgestone Arena on Friday where they will go up against the Alabama Crimson Tide (26-5).

The Mississippi State Bulldogs faced Vanderbilt and took a loss by a final of 77-72 in their last game. Mississippi State walked away from the game with a 45.9% field goal percentage (28 of 61) and made 4 of 17 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Bulldogs made 12 of their 21 tries for a percentage of 57.1%. With regard to hauling in boards, they collected a total of 42 with 21 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 10 assists for this game while forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 4 steals. When discussing defense, Mississippi State allowed their opponent to shoot 49.1% from the field on 26 of 53 shooting. Vanderbilt earned 12 dimes and had 7 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Vanderbilt collected 21 rebounds (7 offensive, 14 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Vanderbilt finished the game shooting 72.2% from the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of their 18 tries. They knocked down 12 out of their 25 tries from beyond the arc. Concerning fouls, the Bulldogs ended up with 17 while Vanderbilt recorded 15 fouls.

Tolu Smith is one player who was a major factor for the contest. He ended up finishing with 27 points on 9 out of 17 shooting. He was on the court for 31 minutes and also grabbed 11 rebounds. He finished the contest at 52.9% from the floor and also totaled 2 assists.

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Mississippi State steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 20-11 so far this season. They currently have an average of 66.4 pts per game (316th in college basketball) on 42.8% from the field. The Bulldogs are connecting on 27.3% on three-point shots (169 of 619) and 64.6% from the free throw line. As a team, Mississippi State is pulling in 37.1 rebounds per game and has tallied 447 dimes so far this year, which is 111th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.5 times per game and as a group they are committing 15.2 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Bulldogs have forced 14.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.3 personal fouls. They give up 30.9% from beyond the arc and they rank 8th in the country in PPG allowed (60.4). The Bulldogs defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 39.3% (655 of 1,666) and they surrender 33.3 boards per game as a unit. They are 126th in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 380 conceded on the year.

In their last game, the Alabama Crimson Tide went home defeated by a final of 67-61 against Texas A&M. The Crimson Tide corralled 25 defensive boards and 15 offensive boards totaling 40 in the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while getting 6 steals in the game. Texas A&M was called for 14 personal fouls in the game which got the Crimson Tide to the charity stripe for a total of 11 tries. They were able to make 10 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 90.9%. Concerning three-point attempts, Alabama made 7 out of their 36 attempts (19.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Crimson Tide ended up shooting 22 for 65 from the floor which had them sitting at 33.8%. The Crimson Tide allowed Texas A&M to make 18 of their 53 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 34.0% in this contest. They finished 25.0% from three-point range via 4 out of 16 and walked away from this one shooting 27 of 28 from the free throw line (96.4%). When talking about cleaning up the glass, Alabama allowed Texas A&M to snag 30 in all (4 offensive).

Brandon Miller ended up being important for the Crimson Tide in this game. He converted 7 out of 23 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 30.4%, and had 10 rebounds. He earned 19 points in his 36 mins on the court and tallied 2 assists for the matchup.

Alabama has a win-loss record of 26-5 this year. The Crimson Tide are committing 18.9 fouls per contest while shooting 72.8% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 14.9 times per contest (62nd in the country) and they turn the ball over 14.3 times per game. Alabama has totaled 2,568 points for the campaign (82.8 per game) and they pull in 44.3 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Crimson Tide are connecting on 44.8% from the floor, which ranks them 176th in the nation.

The Alabama defense allows 28.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter (175 of 617) and opponents are converting on 70.6% of their foul shots. They surrender 10.3 dimes and 37.2 rebounds per game, ranking them 22nd and 331st in the nation. The Crimson Tide on defense are ranked 159th in D-1 in points given up per game with 69.5. They are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 37.7% from the field (3rd in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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