LSU Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 3/9/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023

Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

TV: SECN

Odds/Point Spread: LSU (+6)

Bridgestone Arena is the location where the Vanderbilt Commodores (18-13) will play the LSU Tigers (13-18) on Thursday. Vanderbilt is 6-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 143.5.

The LSU Tigers faced Florida and took a loss by a score of 79-67 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Tigers walked away with 18 while Florida racked up 19 fouls. They also buried 10 out of their 25 shots from distance. Florida went 65.0% at the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of 20 tries. Moreover, Florida totaled 33 rebounds (11 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Florida earned 13 assists and had 7 steals in this contest. With respect to the defense, LSU allowed the other team to shoot 45.9% from the field on 28 of 61 shooting. They also doled out 9 assists for the matchup while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and getting 5 steals. With respect to rebounding, they compiled 40 with 14 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Tigers knocked down 18 of their 25 attempts for a rate of 72.0%. LSU ended the contest having earned a 38.3% FG percentage (23 out of 60) and knocked down 3 out of their 16 shots from beyond the arc.

K.J. Williams is a player who was a major contributor for the contest. He finished the game at 46.2% from the field and earned 1 assist. He played for 30 mins played and also snagged 9 rebounds. He left the arena with 19 points on 6 of 13 shooting.

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LSU heads into this one with a mark of 13-18 on the season. They are averaging 67.5 points per outing (288th in the country) on 41.4% from the floor. The Tigers are shooting 33.3% on three-point shots (229 of 687) and 71.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, LSU is pulling in 34.6 boards per game and has earned 382 dimes so far this year, which ranks 253rd in college basketball in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 12.6 times per game and as a squad they are committing 16.7 fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Tigers have forced 11.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 216th in college basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 412 conceded for the year. The Tigers defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.8% (785 of 1,753) and they relinquish 33.8 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 34.5% from beyond the arc while they are 198th in D-1 in points per game allowed (70.6).

For their last game, the Vanderbilt Commodores took home the win by a final score of 77-72 against Mississippi State. Regarding team rebounding, Vanderbilt permitted Mississippi State to get 42 overall (21 offensive). They finished the game shooting 23.5% from beyond the perimeter by going 4 out of 17 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 21 at the charity stripe (57.1%). The Commodores permitted Mississippi State to convert 28 of their 61 attempts from the floor which had them at 45.9% in the game. Overall, the Commodores finished shooting 26 for 53 from the field which gave them a percentage of 49.1%. In the matter of shots from distance, Vanderbilt converted 12 out of their 25 tries (48.0%). They were able to knock down 13 of those for a clip of 72.2%. Mississippi State was called for 17 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Commodores to the charity stripe for 18 attempts. They turned the ball over 7 times, while recording 7 steals in the game. The Commodores corralled 14 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 21 for this game.

Jordan Wright ended up having an impact for the Commodores for this contest. He made 5 of 9 for this game giving him a rate of 55.6%, and had 6 rebounds. He earned 19 points in his 33 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 3 dimes for this contest.

Vanderbilt has a win-loss record of 18-13 this year. The Commodores commit 16.4 fouls per game and they hit 71.1% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 11.9 times per contest (283rd in college hoops) and they turn it over 10.6 times per game. Vanderbilt has totaled 2,233 points for the year (72.0 per contest) and they pull in 36.8 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Commodores are connecting on 42.3% from the floor, which ranks 302nd in the nation.

The Commodores on the defensive end are ranked 233rd in college basketball in PPG given up with 71.7. They are forcing 10.1 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 43.3% from the field (149th in college basketball). The Vanderbilt defense gives up 31.3% on 3-point attempts (214 of 684) and opponents are making 70.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 12.9 assists and 36.4 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 202nd and 311th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Vanderbilt (-6)

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