Longwood Lancers vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 12/30/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Longwood Lancers vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Saturday, December 30, 2023

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Longwood Lancers (12-2) are traveling to UD Arena on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Dayton Flyers (9-2).

The Longwood Lancers faced North Carolina Central and ended up losing by a score of 79-70 in their last game. When discussing fouls, the Lancers finished with 24 and North Carolina Central finished the game with 23 fouls. They made 8 of their 21 tries from downtown. North Carolina Central finished the contest at 86.1% when shooting free throws by knocking down 31 of 36 attempts. Furthermore, North Carolina Central collected 25 rebounds (4 offensive, 21 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. North Carolina Central earned 12 dimes and had 7 steals in the game. In terms of defense, Longwood allowed the other team to go 43.5% from the field on 20 of 46 shooting. They also doled out 12 assists for the game as well as forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In relation to rebounding, they earned a total of 35 with 13 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Lancers converted 19 of their 29 shots for a rate of 65.5%. Longwood ended with a 42.1% field goal percentage (24 of 57) and made 3 out of their 20 shots from downtown.

Johnathan Massie is someone who came through in the game. He shot 41.2% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended. He played for 36 minutes played and collected 9 boards. He racked up 20 points on 7 out of 17 shooting.

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Longwood comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 12-2 on the campaign. They average 79.1 pts per contest (87th in college basketball) while hitting 47.1% from the floor. The Lancers are hitting 31.8% on shots from 3-point land (82 of 258) and 65.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, Longwood is collecting 42.0 rebounds per game and is sitting with 188 assists on the season, which has them ranked 94th in college basketball in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 13.1 times per game and as a team they are committing 17.2 fouls per game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Lancers are able to force 15.6 turnovers per game and they draw 20.0 fouls. They rank 182nd in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 152 conceded this season. The Lancers are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.3% (308 of 783) and they concede 28.4 rebounds per game as a group. They concede 31.6% on 3-point attempts and they rank 13th in college basketball in opponents PPG (61.6).

In their last game, the Dayton Flyers walked away with a victory by a final of 91-67 when they played Oakland. The Flyers were able to pull down 23 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards for a total of 32 for the contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 2 times, while earning 4 steals for this contest. Oakland committed 7 fouls in the game which got the Flyers to the free throw line for a total of 14 tries. They were able to bury 11 of them for a rate of 78.6%. When discussing shots from downtown, Dayton made 18 of their 34 attempts (52.9%). When the final whistle blew, the Flyers finished 31 for 62 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. The Flyers allowed Oakland to convert 26 of 60 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 43.3% in this game. They shot 32.0% from 3-point land by hitting 8 out of 25 and finished the contest at 7 out of 9 at the free throw line (77.8%). Concerning rebounding, Dayton permitted Oakland to pull down 29 in total (8 offensive).

Javon Bennett ended up being a major contributor for the Flyers in the matchup. He racked up 19 points in his 30 mins on the hardwood and had 9 dimes for the game. He buried 7 of 10 for this contest for a field goal rate of 70.0%, and totaled 4 rebounds.

Dayton has a win-loss record of 9-2 on the year. The Flyers commit 13.3 personal fouls per contest and they hit 76.1% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 15.6 times per game (79th in college basketball) and they cough up possession 10.5 times per game. Dayton has 815 pts on the year (74.1 per contest) and they collect 32.9 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Flyers are shooting 47.7% from the floor, which ranks 60th in the nation.

The Flyers are ranked 59th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 65.3. They are forcing their opponents into 10.4 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.3% from the floor (116th in college basketball). The Dayton defense surrenders 33.8% on shots from 3-point land (77 of 228) and their opponents are knocking down 72.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 12.2 assists and 32.6 rebounds per game, which is ranked 152nd and 74th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Longwood

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