Gonzaga Bulldogs vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 3/7/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Tuesday, March 7, 2023

Location: Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (27-5) are on their way to Orleans Arena on Tuesday where they will play the St. Mary's Gaels (26-6).

The Gonzaga Bulldogs took the court against San Francisco and earned the victory with a final of 84-73 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the Bulldogs left the arena with 13 and San Francisco recorded 20 personal fouls. They also made 14 of their 37 tries from 3-point land. San Francisco finished the game at 83.3% at the charity stripe by burying 5 of their 6 attempts. In addition, San Francisco had 34 boards (11 offensive, 23 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. San Francisco totaled 14 dimes and had 3 steals for the matchup. When discussing defense, Gonzaga allowed the other team to go 40.3% from the field on 27 of 67 shooting. They also recorded 22 assists for this game as well as forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In terms of hauling in rebounds, they earned 35 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Bulldogs converted 19 of 26 tries for a percentage of 73.1%. Gonzaga finished the game having earned a 48.2% field goal percentage (27 out of 56) and knocked down 11 of their 26 3-point shots.

Anton Watson is one player who played a role for this contest. He walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the field and also distributed 3 dimes. He played for 27 minutes played and also totaled 7 boards. He was able to score 20 points on 8 of 16 shooting.

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Gonzaga comes into this game with a record of 27-5 so far this year. They are turning it over 10.6 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 16.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Gonzaga is pulling in 36.6 boards per contest and has 530 assists on the season, which is 10th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Bulldogs are connecting on 38.3% on shots from downtown (248 of 647) and 69.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 87.8 pts per game (1st in college hoops) while shooting 52.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Bulldogs have forced 14.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.1 fouls. They rank 159th in college hoops in giving up assists with 388 relinquished so far this season. The Bulldogs defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.7% (859 of 1,921) and they surrender 31.6 boards per contest as a group. They surrender 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 283rd in college hoops in points per game from their opponents (73.6).

In their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels got the victory with a final of 76-69 when they faced BYU. Regarding rebounding, St. Mary's allowed BYU to grab 25 in all (8 on the offensive glass). They shot 28.6% from downtown by going 4 out of 14 and ended up going 15 of 23 from the free throw line (65.2%). The Gaels allowed BYU to knock down 25 of 51 tries from the floor which had them shooting 49.0% in this matchup. When all was said and done, the Gaels finished 24 out of 47 from the floor which had them sitting at 51.1%. In terms of shots from 3-point land, St. Mary's buried 7 of 15 attempts (46.7%). They were able to make 21 of those for a rate of 61.8%. BYU was called for 24 fouls for the game which took the Gaels to the free throw line for 34 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while earning 3 steals in the matchup. The Gaels were able to pull down 20 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 27 for the game.

Alex Ducas ended up being important for the Gaels for the matchup. He buried 7 of 11 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 63.6%, and had 7 rebounds. He had 23 points in his 40 mins on the court and added 2 dimes in this matchup.

St. Mary's has a win-loss record of 26-6 for the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Gaels are connecting on 46.2% from the field, which is ranked 80th in the nation. St. Mary's has accounted for 2,304 pts for the season (72.0 per game) and they snag 36.0 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 12.7 times per game (217th in college basketball) and they turn it over 10.7 times per game. The Gaels commit 16.6 fouls per game while shooting 69.1% from the charity stripe.

The Gaels on defense are ranked 5th in college basketball in points given up per game with 59.6. They are able to force 12.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.0% from the floor (37th in college basketball). The St. Mary's defense allows 31.9% on shots from beyond the arc (168 of 527) and their opponents are converting on 74.4% of their free throw attempts. They give up 7.5 dimes and 28.4 boards per contest, which ranks them 1st and 2nd in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Gonzaga

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