Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/21/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 21, 2023

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-6) will try to defeat the Florida Gators (10-8) at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday.

The Florida Gators faced off with Texas A&M and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 54-52 in their last game. Concerning fouls, the Gators ended up with 14 and Texas A&M had 19 fouls. They converted 3 out of their 16 tries from distance. Texas A&M finished the game shooting 100.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 7 of their 7 shots. Additionally, Texas A&M grabbed 41 rebounds (13 offensive, 28 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Texas A&M dished out 12 dimes and had 1 steal for the contest. When it comes to defense, Florida let their opponent shoot 35.5% from the floor on 22 out of 62 shooting. They also distributed 8 dimes for the game while creating 10 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they earned 38 with 16 of them being of the offensive sort. At the charity stripe, the Gators converted 14 of their 19 shots for a rate of 73.7%. Florida wrapped up the game with a 26.2% field goal percentage (16 of 61) and made 6 of 26 3-point shots.

Colin Castleton is someone who had an impact for the game. He walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the floor and also totaled 1 assist. He played 38 minutes and also snagged 13 boards. He accounted for 14 points on 5 of 10 shooting.

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Florida will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 10-8 for the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 12.2 times per contest and as a unit they commit 16.8 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Florida is collecting 36.2 boards per contest and has earned 216 assists this season, which has them ranked 300th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Gators are connecting on 33.0% on shots from downtown (122 of 370) and 75.1% from the charity stripe. They average 72.9 points per outing (154th in the nation) while hitting 44.0% from the field.

On defense, the Gators are forcing their opponents into 13.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.2 personal fouls. They currently rank 75th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 205 surrendered on the year. The Gators defense is allowing a FG percentage of 40.0% (429 of 1,073) and they surrender 36.1 boards per contest as a group. They are surrendering 31.7% on shots from distance and they are ranked 89th in college basketball in PPG from their opponents (65.7).

The last time they took the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs went home defeated by a final of 70-59 when they played Tennessee. The Bulldogs pulled down 15 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive boards for a total of 28 for this game. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while getting 10 steals for the game. Tennessee earned 18 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 22 tries. They were able to knock down 14 of the free throws for a rate of 63.6%. Concerning 3-point shots, Mississippi State made 7 out of their 26 tries (26.9%). Overall, the Bulldogs shot 19 out of 57 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 33.3%. The Bulldogs allowed Tennessee to knock down 23 of their 51 attempts from the field which left them shooting 45.1% for the matchup. They finished 41.7% from three-point range by hitting 10 out of 24 and finished the contest at 14 of 15 at the charity stripe (93.3%). When it comes to attacking the glass, Mississippi State permitted Tennessee to grab 38 in all (10 offensive).

Shakeel Moore was important for the Bulldogs in this contest. He made 5 out of 13 for this contest for a rate of 38.5%, and earned 2 rebounds. He recorded 20 points in his 29 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 2 assists for this contest.

Mississippi State has a win-loss mark of 12-6 on the year. The Bulldogs commit 14.3 fouls per contest and they go 61.3% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 14.2 times per game (119th in college basketball) and they are turning it over 12.3 times per contest. Mississippi State has tallied 1,175 pts this year (65.3 per game) and they pull in 38.4 boards per contest. As an offense, the Bulldogs are shooting 40.5% from the field, which ranks them 340th in college hoops.

The Bulldogs on the defensive end are ranked 6th in college basketball in PPG given up with 58.2. They have forced 16.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 38.9% from the floor (17th in the country). The Mississippi State defense gives up 31.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (133 of 420) and opponents are knocking down 74.2% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 11.9 dimes and 34.4 total boards per game, which ranks them 127th and 200th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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