Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 2/11/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Saturday, February 11, 2023

Location: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, VA

TV: ESPN+

The Virginia Cavaliers (18-4) are welcoming the Duke Blue Devils (17-7) at John Paul Jones Arena on Saturday.

The Duke Blue Devils faced Miami and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 81-59 in their last contest. Duke walked away from the contest having earned a 40.7% field goal percentage (22 of 54) and made 5 of 19 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Blue Devils made 10 of 13 attempts for a percentage of 76.9%. When discussing pulling down rebounds, they compiled 29 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 16 dimes for this game while forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In reference to defense, Duke allowed their opponent to shoot 47.8% from the field on 32 out of 67 shooting. Miami earned 21 dimes and had 13 steals in the game. Furthermore, Miami grabbed 31 boards (11 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Miami finished 90.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 10 of their 11 tries. They also made 7 of their 17 attempts from 3-point land. In reference to personal fouls, the Blue Devils ended up finishing with 10 while Miami accounted for 11 personal fouls.

Dereck Lively II is a guy who was a major contributor for the game. He scored 11 points on 5 of 6 shooting. He played for 26 minutes played and pulled down 6 boards. He went 83.3% from the field and recorded 1 assist.

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Duke steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 17-7 on the year. They are giving up possession 12.5 times per game and as a unit they commit 15.3 fouls per contest. As a team, Duke is collecting 39.6 rebounds per game and has tallied 350 dimes so far this season, which is 92nd in college hoops in terms of passing. The Blue Devils are hitting 32.4% on shots from 3-point land (161 of 497) and 76.3% from the charity stripe. They average 71.9 pts per contest (167th in D-1) while connecting on 43.7% from the floor.

On defense, the Blue Devils are able to force 11.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.3 fouls. They give up 30.3% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 44th in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (64.1). The Blue Devils defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 41.1% (573 of 1,394) and they surrender 31.3 rebounds per game as a squad. They rank 124th in college basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 285 relinquished on the season.

The last time they took the court, the Virginia Cavaliers went home victorious with a score of 63-50 when they faced North Carolina State. When it comes to rebounds, Virginia permitted North Carolina State to get 35 overall (11 on the offensive glass). They finished 29.6% from downtown by shooting 8 out of 27 and ended up shooting 4 out of 7 at the free throw line (57.1%). The Cavaliers allowed North Carolina State to knock down 19 of 57 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 33.3% for this contest. Overall, the Cavaliers ended up going 21 out of 47 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.7%. In terms of shooting from 3-point land, Virginia made 2 out of 8 attempts (25.0%). They were able to convert 19 of the free throws for a rate of 79.2%. North Carolina State committed 19 fouls for the matchup which got the Cavaliers to the charity stripe for 24 tries. They also coughed up the ball 5 times, while recording 7 steals in the matchup. The Cavaliers pulled down 21 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 25 for the matchup.

Jayden Gardner was important for the Cavaliers in the matchup. He recorded 18 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist in this matchup. He knocked down 6 out of 12 in this game giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 5 rebounds.

Virginia has a win-loss mark of 18-4 for the campaign. The Cavaliers have committed 14.1 personal fouls per contest and they go 72.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 16.3 times per game (17th in the country) and they are giving up possession 9.1 times per game. Virginia has tallied 1,540 pts for the season (70.0 per game) and they grab 32.5 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Cavaliers are hitting on 45.7% from the floor, which is 121st in D-1.

The Virginia defense allows 34.0% on shots from distance (154 of 453) and opponents are knocking down 74.2% of their free throw shots. They allow 11.8 assists and 31.5 boards on a nightly basis, which is 112th and 44th in the country. The Cavaliers on the defensive side of the court are 10th in the country in points given up per game with 60.4. They are able to force 12.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.2% from the floor (64th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Virginia

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