Duke Blue Devils vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, 3/18/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Tennessee Volunteers

Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023

Location: Amway Center in Orlando, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Duke (-3)

The Tennessee Volunteers (24-10) will try to defeat the Duke Blue Devils (27-8) at Amway Center on Saturday. Tennessee opens this matchup as -3-point dogs. The over/under is 131.5.

The Duke Blue Devils faced Oral Roberts and took home the win by a score of 74-51 in their last game. In the matter of fouls, the Blue Devils walked away with 15 and Oral Roberts recorded 8 fouls. They knocked down 8 out of their 32 attempts from distance. Oral Roberts ended up going 62.5% from the free throw line by making 5 of their 8 shots. On top of that, Oral Roberts grabbed 28 rebounds (8 offensive, 20 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Oral Roberts totaled 10 assists and had 3 steals for the contest. In terms of the defense, Duke allowed the other team to go 30.2% from the floor on 19 of 63 shooting. They also dished out 13 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Regarding hauling in rebounds, they compiled 42 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Blue Devils buried 6 of 9 tries for a rate of 66.7%. Duke finished the game having earned a 48.4% FG percentage (31 out of 64) and knocked down 6 of their 16 three-point shots.

Jeremy Roach is a player who was a major contributor in this contest. He went 52.9% from the floor and distributed 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 37 minutes and pulled down 2 boards. He was able to score 23 points on 9 of 17 shooting.

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Duke will enter this contest with a record of 27-8 this season. They are giving up possession 11.9 times per contest and as a team are committing 15.2 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Duke is grabbing 38.9 rebounds per game and has totaled 516 dimes for the year, which ranks 40th in the nation in terms of passing. The Blue Devils are shooting 33.7% on 3-point shots (239 of 709) and 76.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 72.6 pts per game (159th in college hoops) while going 45.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Blue Devils are able to force 10.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 16.5 personal fouls. They rank 130th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 394 conceded on the campaign. The Blue Devils defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 40.6% (821 of 2,022) and they surrender 30.7 boards per contest as a group. They are giving up 30.1% from beyond the arc and they rank 30th in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (63.6).

The last time they took the court, the Tennessee Volunteers took home the win by a final score of 58-55 when they faced Louisiana. In regard to rebounding, Tennessee permitted Louisiana to grab 23 in total (6 offensive). They finished 33.3% from beyond the arc by going 6 out of 18 and finished the contest at 5 of 9 at the free throw line (55.6%). The Volunteers permitted Louisiana to make 22 of 55 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 40.0% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Volunteers finished shooting 21 out of 46 from the field which had them shooting 45.7%. Pertaining to shooting from beyond the arc, Tennessee made 4 out of 16 attempts (25.0%). They were able to knock down 12 of those for a clip of 57.1%. Louisiana committed 19 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Volunteers to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They also turned the ball over 16 times, while getting 9 steals in the matchup. The Volunteers were able to pull down 22 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 27 in this contest.

Josiah-Jordan James ended up having an impact for the Volunteers in the matchup. He totaled 20 points in his 31 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 2 assists for this game. He made 6 out of 13 for the game for a field goal percentage of 46.2%, and had 7 rebounds.

Tennessee has a mark of 24-10 for the season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Volunteers are hitting on 43.7% from the field, which ranks them 232nd in college hoops. Tennessee has accounted for 2,427 pts for the campaign (71.4 per contest) and they average 38.6 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 16.9 times per contest (9th in D-1) and they turn it over 12.2 times per contest. The Volunteers are responsible for committing 16.7 personal fouls per contest and they hit 70.9% from the charity stripe.

The Tennessee defense concedes 26.4% from downtown (196 of 743) and opponents are making 72.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 9.8 dimes and 31.7 total boards per game, which is 11th and 45th in those categories on the defensive end. The Volunteers on the defensive side of the court are 3rd in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 57.9. They are able to force 14.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 37.0% from the floor (2nd in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tennessee (+3)

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