Dayton Flyers vs VCU Rams Prediction, 2/7/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs VCU Rams

Date: Tuesday, February 7, 2023

Location: Stuart C. Siegel Center in Richmond, VA

TV: ESPN+

The VCU Rams (18-6) will compete against the Dayton Flyers (15-9) at Stuart C. Siegel Center on Tuesday.

The Dayton Flyers faced St. Bonaventure and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 68-59 in their last game. Regarding personal fouls, the Flyers walked away with 18 while St. Bonaventure totaled 15 personal fouls. They also converted 9 of their 24 shots from beyond the arc. St. Bonaventure finished 68.4% from the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of 19 attempts. Moreover, St. Bonaventure totaled 28 rebounds (9 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't notch a block. St. Bonaventure distributed 15 dimes and had 5 steals for this contest. With respect to the defense, Dayton allowed the other team to go 44.2% from the field on 23 out of 52 shooting. They also distributed 13 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing 7 turnovers and having 5 steals. In reference to grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 31 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Flyers converted 11 of 17 tries for a rate of 64.7%. Dayton walked away from the game having earned a 39.3% field goal percentage (22 out of 56) and made 4 out of their 20 shots from 3-point land.

DaRon Holmes II is one guy who was important for the matchup. He accounted for 21 points on 7 out of 8 shooting. He saw the court for 36 minutes played and also totaled 2 boards. He finished the game shooting 87.5% from the floor but wasn't able to get a dime.

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Dayton comes into this game with a record of 15-9 on the campaign. They turn the ball over 13.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 13.6 fouls per game. As a team, Dayton is pulling down 36.9 boards per game and has earned 360 assists for the year, which is 64th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Flyers are shooting 33.5% on shots from beyond the arc (154 of 460) and 70.0% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 69.3 points per game (243rd in college basketball) while shooting 47.0% from the field.

Defensively, the Flyers are forcing 10.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.7 fouls. They are ranked 53rd in college basketball in giving up assists with 256 relinquished on the campaign. The Flyers defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.3% (550 of 1,398) and they relinquish 31.1 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are conceding 28.6% on three-point shots and they rank 16th in college hoops in points per game allowed (61.5).

The last time they took the hardwood, the VCU Rams got the victory with a final of 73-65 against Saint Louis. The Rams earned 23 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 31 for the game. They also turned it over 10 times, while getting 9 steals for the contest. Saint Louis committed 15 fouls in the game which got the Rams to the free throw line for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to make 15 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 83.3%. Pertaining to 3-point attempts, VCU converted 4 of their 17 tries (23.5%). Overall, the Rams shot 27 for 59 from the field which gave them a rate of 45.8%. The Rams allowed Saint Louis to make 26 out of their 54 tries from the field which had them shooting 48.1% in the matchup. They went 40.0% from 3-point land by going 8 of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 5 out of 8 at the free throw line (62.5%). In reference to rebounding, VCU permitted Saint Louis to collect 30 overall (4 offensive).

Ace Baldwin was important for the Rams in this game. He scored 37 points in his 38 minutes of playing time and accumulated 2 dimes for the contest. He made 12 of 15 in the game giving him a rate of 80.0%, and had 4 rebounds.

VCU has a win-loss mark of 18-6 on the year. The Rams are committing 15.9 fouls per contest and they hit 71.1% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 12.5 times per game (235th in college basketball) and they are turning it over 14.5 times per game. VCU has totaled 1,693 points on the campaign (70.5 per game) and they collect 32.7 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Rams are hitting on 45.7% from the floor, which ranks them 120th in college basketball.

The VCU defense gives up 33.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (145 of 434) and opponents are connecting on 70.6% of their free throw attempts. They concede 11.8 dimes and 32.9 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 118th and 108th in the nation. The Rams defensively are ranked 32nd in D-1 in points given up per game with 63.3. They are forcing 17.1 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 42.1% from the floor (99th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dayton

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