Dayton Flyers vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 2/22/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2023

Location: William D. Mullins Memorial Center in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

The UMass Minutemen (14-13) are welcoming the Dayton Flyers (18-9) at William D. Mullins Memorial Center on Wednesday.

The Dayton Flyers stepped onto the hardwood against Loyola and went home with a win by a final score of 65-49 in their last contest. Dayton finished the contest with a 48.1% field goal percentage (25 of 52) and converted 4 of their 18 shots from beyond the arc. When they shot from the free throw line, the Flyers made 11 of their 14 tries for a rate of 78.6%. When talking about rebounding, they earned 37 with 7 of them being offensive. They also doled out 16 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In the matter of defense, Dayton allowed the other team to shoot 30.5% from the floor on 18 out of 59 shooting. Loyola doled out 8 dimes and had 7 steals for this game. On top of that, Loyola totaled 24 rebounds (6 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Loyola finished shooting 80.0% when shooting free throws by making 8 of their 10 tries. They also knocked down 5 of their 24 tries from long range. When talking about personal fouls, the Flyers left the arena with 10 and Loyola finished the game with 13 personal fouls.

DaRon Holmes II is someone who came through in the matchup. He finished the contest at 80.0% from the field and distributed 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 34 minutes and also pulled down 10 rebounds. He walked away with 20 points on 8 of 10 shooting.

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Dayton heads into this one with a record of 18-9 on the season. They turn the ball over 13.0 times per game and as a unit they commit 13.7 fouls per contest. As a team, Dayton is pulling down 37.0 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 405 assists on the year, which is 85th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Flyers are connecting on 33.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (174 of 521) and 69.7% from the charity stripe. They average 68.9 points per contest (253rd in D-1) while going 46.9% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Flyers are able to force 10.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.7 personal fouls. They are ranked 30th in the country in allowing assists with 284 surrendered for the year. The Flyers defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.0% (610 of 1,566) and they concede 30.9 boards per game as a group. They relinquish 28.2% on 3-point attempts and they are 11th in D-1 in points per game from their opponents (60.7).

When they last stepped on the court, the UMass Minutemen walked away with a victory by a final of 69-45 when they faced Rhode Island. The Minutemen corralled 34 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 42 for the game. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while recording 5 steals in this contest. Rhode Island was called for 13 personal fouls in the game which took the Minutemen to the free throw line for 7 attempts. They were able to bury 4 of those for a rate of 57.1%. In relation to three-point shots, UMass buried 5 of their 16 tries (31.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Minutemen ended up going 30 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. The Minutemen allowed Rhode Island to make 16 of their 65 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 24.6% in this contest. They finished 16.0% from 3-point land by shooting 4 out of 25 and ended up shooting 9 of 16 from the charity stripe (56.3%). In regard to how they rebounded, UMass permitted Rhode Island to pull down 27 in all (10 offensive).

Keon Thompson was important for the Minutemen for this game. He earned 15 points in his 30 mins on the court and had 5 assists in this matchup. He knocked down 6 of 10 for the game giving him a rate of 60.0%, and added 6 rebounds.

UMass has a mark of 14-13 on the season. On the offensive side of the court, the Minutemen are shooting 42.4% from the field, which has them ranked 297th in the nation. UMass has accounted for 1,921 pts for the year (71.1 per game) and they pull in 38.0 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 14.0 times per contest (119th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 14.0 times per game. The Minutemen are responsible for committing 17.8 fouls per game while shooting 70.5% from the free throw line.

The Minutemen defensively are ranked 228th in Division 1 in points per game surrendered with 71.2. They are able to force 13.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the floor (153rd in college basketball). The UMass defense surrenders 32.3% on 3-point attempts (206 of 637) and opponents are connecting on 69.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 14.5 dimes and 34.9 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 315th and 243rd in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dayton

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