Dayton Flyers vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 11/29/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Wednesday, November 29, 2023

Location: Moody Coliseum in University Park, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Dayton Flyers (4-2) are on their way to Moody Coliseum on Wednesday where they will play the SMU Mustangs (5-2).

The Dayton Flyers stepped onto the hardwood against Youngstown State and took home the win by a score of 77-69 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Flyers finished with 11 and Youngstown State accumulated 20 fouls. They also converted 13 of 29 attempts from downtown. Youngstown State walked away from this one shooting 60.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 6 of their 10 attempts. Moreover, Youngstown State collected 30 boards (4 offensive, 26 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Youngstown State recorded 14 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. Regarding defense, Dayton allowed the other team to shoot 41.0% from the floor on 25 of 61 shooting. They also recorded 15 assists in this game while creating 7 turnovers and getting 3 steals. With regard to rebounding, they earned 35 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Flyers made 15 of their 26 tries for a rate of 57.7%. Dayton wrapped up the contest with a 51.0% field goal percentage (26 out of 51) and buried 10 of 23 3-pointers.

DaRon Holmes II is one player who came through for this contest. He finished with 18 points on 6 of 8 shooting. He was on the court for 27 minutes and also totaled 3 rebounds. He finished shooting 75.0% from the field and recorded 2 dimes.

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Dayton will play this game with a mark of 4-2 for the season. They have an average of 69.8 pts per game (273rd in Division 1) while hitting 46.1% from the floor. The Flyers are connecting on 35.5% on 3-pointers (49 of 138) and 74.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Dayton is grabbing 31.0 boards per game and is sitting with 87 assists this season, which has them ranked 159th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 11.2 times per game and as a squad they are committing 13.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Flyers are forcing 10.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.0 fouls. They concede 41.3% from 3-point land while they are 120th in the country in points per game allowed (67.3). The Flyers defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 44.1% (149 of 338) and they surrender 32.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are ranked 142nd in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 72 conceded so far this season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the SMU Mustangs walked away with a victory by a final of 70-57 against UL Monroe. In regard to team rebounding, SMU allowed UL Monroe to get 36 in all (16 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 20.0% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 5 out of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 8 of 12 from the charity stripe (66.7%). The Mustangs allowed UL Monroe to make 22 of 65 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 33.8% for the matchup. When the game finished, the Mustangs finished 22 for 51 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.1%. In reference to shots from beyond the perimeter, SMU made 8 of their 21 attempts (38.1%). They were able to bury 18 of the free throw tries for a rate of 72.0%. UL Monroe earned 18 fouls in the matchup which got the Mustangs to the free throw line for 25 attempts. They also gave up possession 9 times, while recording 6 steals in this matchup. The Mustangs were able to corral 27 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for the game.

Zhuric Phelps ended up having an impact for the Mustangs in this game. He knocked down 6 out of 14 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 42.9%, and had 4 rebounds. He accumulated 21 points in his 33 mins of playing time and had 2 assists for the matchup.

SMU has a record of 5-2 for the year. As an offensive unit, the Mustangs are hitting on 42.8% from the field, which ranks them 246th in Division 1. SMU has accumulated 517 pts for the year (73.9 per contest) and they collect 40.9 rebounds per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 14.9 times per game (105th in college basketball) and they are giving up possession 11.1 times per contest. The Mustangs commit 17.9 personal fouls per contest and they hit 69.6% from the free throw line.

The Mustangs on the defensive side of the court are 56th in D-1 in PPG given up with 63.7. They are able to force 13.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 37.2% from the floor (21st in college basketball). The SMU defense allows 25.2% on shots from beyond the arc (38 of 151) and their opponents are converting on 71.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 13.1 dimes and 38.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 232nd and 293rd in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dayton

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