Creighton Bluejays vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 3/19/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Creighton Bluejays vs Baylor Bears

Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Creighton (+1)

Ball Arena is the site where the Baylor Bears (23-10) will try to defeat the Creighton Bluejays (22-12) on Sunday. Baylor is 1-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is set at 147.5.

The Creighton Bluejays faced North Carolina State and notched a win by a score of 72-63 in their last game. Creighton wrapped up the contest having earned a 46.4% field goal percentage (26 out of 56) and buried 3 of their 20 three-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bluejays made 17 of 19 shots for a percentage of 89.5%. In relation to pulling down boards, they compiled 32 with 2 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 15 dimes in this matchup while creating 6 turnovers and getting 3 steals. In regard to the defense, Creighton let their opponent shoot 37.5% from the field on 24 of 64 shooting. North Carolina State recorded 3 assists and had 4 steals in the game. Furthermore, North Carolina State had 34 boards (8 offensive, 26 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. North Carolina State ended up shooting 80.0% from the free throw line by converting 12 of their 15 attempts. They also knocked down 3 of 14 tries from distance. Concerning personal fouls, the Bluejays finished with 14 and North Carolina State totaled 18 personal fouls.

Ryan Kalkbrenner is one player who was a major contributor in this matchup. He ended up walking away with 31 points on 11 of 14 shooting. He was on the court for 38 minutes and snagged 7 boards. He ended up shooting 78.6% from the field and also distributed 2 dimes.

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Creighton enters this one with a win-loss record of 22-12 so far this season. They turn the ball over 11.5 times per game and as a team they commit 13.2 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Creighton is snagging 37.1 rebounds per game and has accumulated 540 assists for the campaign, which ranks 24th in the country in terms of passing. The Bluejays are connecting on 35.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (297 of 837) and 77.2% from the free throw line. They average 76.5 pts per game (62nd in the nation) while going 46.7% from the field.

On defense, the Bluejays are able to force 9.9 turnovers per game while drawing 15.9 personal fouls. They rank 185th in the nation in giving up assists with 415 surrendered for the season. The Bluejays defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 42.0% (899 of 2,138) and they surrender 33.5 rebounds per contest as a team. They relinquish 33.9% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 127th in college basketball in PPG allowed (68.3).

In their last game, the Baylor Bears walked away with a victory by a final of 74-56 when they played UC Santa Barbara. The Bears earned 19 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 26 for the matchup. They coughed it up 9 times, while recording 5 steals in this game. UC Santa Barbara was called for 15 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Bears to the charity stripe for 16 attempts. They were able to bury 10 of them for a rate of 62.5%. When talking about three-point shots, Baylor converted 8 of their 22 attempts (36.4%). At the conclusion of this game, the Bears finished shooting 28 for 51 from the floor which had them shooting 54.9%. The Bears allowed UC Santa Barbara to bury 23 of their 49 tries from the floor which left them shooting 46.9% in this game. They shot 25.0% from downtown by shooting 4 of 16 and walked away from this one shooting 6 out of 9 at the free throw line (66.7%). When discussing how they cleaned up the glass, Baylor permitted UC Santa Barbara to snag 22 overall (3 offensive).

Adam Flagler ended up having an impact for the Bears for the contest. He earned 18 points in his 37 minutes on the court and had 5 assists for the contest. He made 7 of 10 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 70.0%, and totaled 1 rebound.

Baylor has a win-loss mark of 23-10 this year. The Bears are committing 17.2 personal fouls every game and they hit 74.6% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 14.5 times per contest (81st in the nation) and they lose possession via turnover 12.2 times per game. Baylor has tallied 2,543 pts this season (77.1 per game) and they grab 34.1 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Bears are connecting on 44.9% from the field, which is ranked 167th in the nation.

The Bears are ranked 169th in D-1 in PPG given up with 69.8. They are forcing 13.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the field (290th in the nation). The Baylor defense allows 32.0% on shots from 3-point land (223 of 696) and their opposition makes 70.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 15.3 assists and 31.9 rebounds every game, which ranks them 338th and 54th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Creighton (+1)

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