Cal Poly Mustangs vs Oregon State Beavers Prediction, 12/4/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cal Poly Mustangs vs Oregon State Beavers

Date: Monday, December 4, 2023

Location: Gill Coliseum in Corvallis, OR

TV: PAC12

Odds/Point Spread: Cal Poly (+13)

The Oregon State Beavers (4-3) will try to beat the Cal Poly Mustangs (3-5) at Gill Coliseum on Monday. Cal Poly opens this contest as 13-point underdogs. The total has been set at 135.

The Cal Poly Mustangs took the court against Idaho and went home with a loss by a final score of 85-70 in their last game. Cal Poly walked away from the contest having earned a 40.8% FG percentage (20 of 49) and buried 6 of their 21 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Mustangs made 24 of 30 tries for a percentage of 80.0%. With regard to hauling in boards, they compiled a total of 27 with 10 of them being offensive. They also doled out 10 assists for this contest while creating 10 turnovers and having 3 steals. In the matter of the defense, Cal Poly let their opponent shoot 49.1% from the field on 26 of 53 shooting. Idaho distributed 11 dimes and had 8 steals in this game. Additionally, Idaho collected 30 rebounds (9 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Idaho finished the contest at 72.7% from the charity stripe by making 24 of 33 shots. They also converted 9 of their 22 tries from beyond the perimeter. When it comes to personal fouls, the Mustangs ended up finishing with 21 while Idaho finished the game with 26 personal fouls.

Kobe Sanders is someone who was a contributor in the matchup. He finished the game at 55.6% from the floor and recorded 3 assists. He was on the court for 27 mins played and also collected 1 rebound. He racked up 20 points on 5 of 9 shooting.

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Cal Poly comes into this one with a mark of 3-5 for the year. They average 68.6 pts per game (292nd in the country) while connecting on 42.8% from the floor. The Mustangs are shooting 32.6% on 3-pointers (43 of 132) and 71.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Cal Poly is collecting 33.0 boards per game and has 76 dimes for the season, which ranks 327th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 10.6 times per contest and as a unit they commit 20.3 personal fouls every game.

Defensively, the Mustangs are forcing 11.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.3 personal fouls. They are ranked 159th in the country in giving up assists with 94 relinquished so far this season. The Mustangs defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 45.9% (198 of 431) and they surrender 38.1 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are giving up 37.3% from beyond the arc and they rank 271st in college hoops in points per game allowed (75.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Oregon State Beavers got the victory with a final of 71-59 when they faced UC Davis. In relation to attacking the glass, Oregon State permitted UC Davis to pull down 26 in all (10 on the offensive side). They finished 18.2% from downtown by hitting 4 of 22 and finished the contest at 17 of 25 from the free throw line (68.0%). The Beavers permitted UC Davis to bury 19 of 53 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 35.8% for this game. Overall, the Beavers walked away from this one shooting 21 for 44 from the floor which had them shooting 47.7%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, Oregon State buried 5 of 13 attempts (38.5%). They were able to bury 24 of the free throw tries for a rate of 85.7%. UC Davis had 25 personal fouls in this game which took the Beavers to the free throw line for a total of 28 shots. They also coughed up the ball 19 times, while earning 10 steals for the contest. The Beavers snagged 26 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 31 for this contest.

Chol Marial was important for the Beavers for this game. He made 6 out of 8 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 75.0%, and totaled 10 rebounds. He earned 18 points in his 27 mins on the court, but wasn't able to notch an assist.

Oregon State has a record of 4-3 on the year. As an offensive unit, the Beavers are connecting on 41.9% from the field, which has them ranked 288th in the nation. Oregon State has tallied 501 pts for the season (71.6 per game) and they grab 36.0 boards per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 11.9 times per game (269th in college basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.3 times per contest. The Beavers are committing 21.0 fouls per contest and they hit 76.2% from the charity stripe.

The Beavers defensively are ranked 202nd in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 72.0. They have forced 13.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 40.0% from the floor (69th in college basketball). The Oregon State defense gives up 29.9% from downtown (53 of 177) and their opponents are converting on 68.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 14.4 assists and 38.6 boards per game, which is ranked 299th and 307th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oregon State (-13)

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