Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 3/2/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans

Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023

Location: Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, FL

TV: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (19-12) will go up against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (13-19) at Pensacola Bay Center on Thursday.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves played Coastal Carolina and went home with a win by a final score of 86-69 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Red Wolves ended up walking away with 14 and Coastal Carolina accumulated 19 fouls. They buried 6 of their 15 attempts from beyond the arc. Coastal Carolina finished shooting 81.3% from the charity stripe by burying 13 of 16 shots. In addition, Coastal Carolina totaled 31 rebounds (11 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Coastal Carolina totaled 11 assists and had 2 steals for the matchup. In relation to defending, Arkansas State allowed the other team to shoot 41.7% from the field on 25 out of 60 shooting. They also recorded 19 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and having 3 steals. In reference to hauling in boards, they compiled 32 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Red Wolves knocked down 16 of 23 shots for a rate of 69.6%. Arkansas State wrapped up the game having earned a 52.8% FG percentage (28 out of 53) and knocked down 14 of their 25 3-pointers.

Terrance Ford is a guy who was a major contributor in this game. He scored 25 points on 7 of 10 shooting. He played for 37 minutes but wasn't able to snag any boards. He finished the contest at 70.0% from the field and dished out 5 dimes.

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Arkansas State will take the court with a win-loss record of 13-19 so far this season. They cough up possession 11.7 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 16.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Arkansas State is collecting 33.7 rebounds per contest and has tallied 424 assists this year, which is 105th in the nation in terms of passing. The Red Wolves are shooting 35.1% on shots from distance (203 of 579) and 67.5% from the free throw line. They have an average of 65.9 points per contest (321st in the nation) while hitting 43.2% from the field.

Defensively, the Red Wolves have forced 11.7 turnovers per game and they draw 16.7 personal fouls. They currently rank 157th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 369 relinquished on the year. The Red Wolves are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.1% (757 of 1,716) and they relinquish 32.9 boards per contest as a group. They relinquish 37.0% from 3-point land and they rank 116th in D-1 in points per game allowed (67.8).

When they last stepped on the court, the Troy Trojans took home the win by a final score of 95-74 against Coastal Carolina. In relation to how they attacked the glass, Troy permitted Coastal Carolina to snag 32 in all (6 offensive). They shot 20.8% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 5 out of 24 and ended up shooting 17 out of 17 from the free throw line (100.0%). The Trojans allowed Coastal Carolina to convert 26 of 57 tries from the floor which left them shooting 45.6% in the matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Trojans walked away from this one shooting 29 for 62 from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.8%. Regarding 3-pointers, Troy converted 17 of 42 tries (40.5%). They were able to knock down 20 of them for a percentage of 83.3%. Coastal Carolina had 18 fouls in the matchup which took the Trojans to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They also turned the ball over 9 times, while earning 16 steals for the contest. The Trojans were able to snag 24 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards totaling 30 in the game.

Christyon Eugene ended up being a major contributor for the Trojans in this contest. He earned 19 points in his 31 mins on the court, but wasn't able to notch an assist. He made 6 out of 12 for this contest giving him a rate of 50.0%, and totaled 4 rebounds.

Troy has a mark of 19-12 on the year. The Trojans are committing 17.0 fouls every game and they shoot 69.8% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 13.9 times per contest (130th in college hoops) and they turn the ball over 13.1 times per game. Troy has 2,279 points on the campaign (73.5 per game) and they pull in 34.7 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Trojans are shooting 44.6% from the field, which ranks them 184th in college basketball.

The Trojans are ranked 86th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 66.8. They are able to force 15.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 42.3% from the field (93rd in the nation). The Troy defense gives up 31.8% on shots from 3-point land (195 of 613) and opponents are converting on 75.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 10.9 dimes and 34.2 boards every game, which is 54th and 196th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Troy

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