Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 12/4/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Monday, December 4, 2023

Location: Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Arkansas State (+23)

Coleman Coliseum is the site where the Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2) will attempt to defeat the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-6) on Monday. Arkansas State opens as 23-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 166.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves played Little Rock and ended up losing by a score of 77-66 in their last contest. In regard to personal fouls, the Red Wolves ended up walking away with 19 while Little Rock recorded 20 personal fouls. They also converted 7 out of their 22 shots from distance. Little Rock walked away from this one shooting 72.0% when shooting free throws by burying 18 of 25 tries. Furthermore, Little Rock collected 34 rebounds (11 offensive, 23 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Little Rock dished out 12 assists and had 12 steals for the game. Pertaining to defending, Arkansas State allowed the other team to go 45.6% from the floor on 26 of 57 shooting. They also distributed 7 assists in this game as well as forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In regard to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 31 with 13 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Red Wolves converted 15 of 24 attempts for a percentage of 62.5%. Arkansas State finished with a 36.1% field goal percentage (22 out of 61) and buried 7 out of their 26 shots from 3-point land.

Dyondre Dominguez is a guy who was a major contributor in this contest. He ended up going 63.6% from the floor and earned 1 assist. He played 27 minutes and collected 7 boards. He finished with 20 points on 7 out of 11 shooting.

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Arkansas State will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 2-6 so far this year. They average 74.3 pts per game (204th in the nation) while hitting 41.1% from the field. The Red Wolves are hitting 34.5% on shots from 3-point land (77 of 223) and 65.6% from the free throw line. As a unit, Arkansas State is pulling down 38.5 boards per game and has accounted for 114 assists for the year, which ranks 124th in college hoops in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.8 times per game and as a squad they commit 21.1 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Red Wolves have forced 10.4 turnovers per game and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. They concede 32.1% from beyond the arc and they are 335th in college basketball in opponents points per game (80.1). The Red Wolves defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.4% (219 of 472) and they surrender 37.4 rebounds per contest as a group. They are currently ranked 174th in college basketball in allowing assists with 96 conceded on the campaign.

When they last played, the Alabama Crimson Tide took a loss by a final score of 85-77 against Clemson. The Crimson Tide corralled 23 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 35 in the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 7 times, while getting 7 steals for the contest. Clemson committed 22 personal fouls for this game which took the Crimson Tide to the free throw line for a total of 26 shots. They were able to bury 20 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 76.9%. In regard to shooting from 3-point land, Alabama made 11 of 35 tries (31.4%). In all, the Crimson Tide finished the game shooting 23 for 67 from the field which gave them a percentage of 34.3%. The Crimson Tide permitted Clemson to make 32 of their 60 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 53.3% in this game. They went 52.4% from three-point range via 11 of 21 and finished the contest at 10 out of 15 at the charity stripe (66.7%). With respect to rebounding, Alabama permitted Clemson to pull down 41 overall (8 on the offensive glass).

Mark Sears was important for the Crimson Tide for the matchup. He recorded 23 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 dimes for the contest. He made 7 of 14 for the contest giving him a rate of 50.0%, and tallied 4 rebounds.

Alabama has a win-loss mark of 5-2 for the campaign. The Crimson Tide commit 18.4 fouls per game and they hit 79.4% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 15.0 times per game (92nd in the nation) and they are giving up possession 11.4 times per game. Alabama has totaled 664 pts for the year (94.9 per game) and they collect 39.9 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Crimson Tide are shooting 50.8% from the field, which is ranked 14th in the country.

The Alabama defense concedes 35.1% on 3-point attempts (53 of 151) and opponents are making 69.1% of their foul shots. They have conceded 10.3 dimes and 30.4 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 52nd and 29th in the nation. The Crimson Tide on the defensive side of the court are 291st in college hoops in PPG given up with 76.3. They are forcing their opponents into 12.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.0% from the floor (274th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Alabama (-23)

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