Arkansas Razorbacks vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 1/28/2023 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, January 28, 2023

Location: Ferrell Center in Waco, TX

TV: ESPN

Ferrell Center is where the Baylor Bears (15-5) will go up against the Arkansas Razorbacks (14-6) on Saturday.

The Arkansas Razorbacks took the court against LSU and went home with a win by a final score of 60-40 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Razorbacks ended up with 12 while LSU totaled 15 personal fouls. They also buried 1 of their 9 attempts from distance. LSU finished shooting 68.8% from the charity stripe by knocking down 11 of their 16 shots. Furthermore, LSU had 32 rebounds (11 offensive, 21 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. LSU doled out 6 dimes and had 5 steals for the contest. With regard to the defense, Arkansas allowed their opponent to shoot 25.9% from the floor on 14 out of 54 shooting. They also doled out 15 assists for the contest while forcing 14 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In terms of pulling down rebounds, they earned 33 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Razorbacks made 9 of their 12 shots for a rate of 75.0%. Arkansas walked away from the contest having earned a 45.1% field goal percentage (23 out of 51) and converted 5 of their 13 3-pointers.

Davonte Davis is a guy who came through in this game. He ended up going 87.5% from the floor and totaled 3 dimes. He played for 40 minutes played and also totaled 7 boards. He ended up finishing with 16 points on 7 out of 8 shooting.

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Arkansas enters this game with a win-loss record of 14-6 on the year. They turn the ball over 13.2 times per game and as a group are committing 18.9 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Arkansas is collecting 36.3 boards per game and is sitting with 264 assists for the campaign, which ranks 223rd in college basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Razorbacks are shooting 30.8% on 3-point shots (100 of 325) and 70.2% from the free throw line. They are averaging 75.1 pts per game (109th in the nation) while going 47.1% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Razorbacks are forcing their opponents into 16.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.8 fouls. They currently rank 18th in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 196 relinquished so far this season. The Razorbacks are giving up a shooting percentage of 41.7% (452 of 1,083) and they concede 31.4 boards per contest as a group. They are relinquishing 31.0% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 66th in the nation in points per game allowed (65.0).

The last time they took the court, the Baylor Bears got the win with a final of 75-69 against Kansas. When talking about how they attacked the glass, Baylor allowed Kansas to snag 31 in total (7 on the offensive side). They shot 26.3% from behind the 3-point line via 5 of 19 and finished the contest at 16 of 16 from the charity stripe (100.0%). The Bears permitted Kansas to make 24 of 52 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 46.2% for the contest. When the game finished, the Bears went 23 for 62 from the field which had them at 37.1%. In regard to shooting from 3-point land, Baylor converted 9 of 30 attempts (30.0%). They were able to bury 20 of the free throws for a rate of 80.0%. Kansas was called for 21 fouls for this contest which took the Bears to the free throw line for a total of 25 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 9 times, while getting 9 steals for the contest. The Bears were able to collect 14 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 27 for the contest.

LJ Cryer was important for the Bears in this game. He scored 22 points in his 38 mins of playing time and had 3 assists for the matchup. He converted 8 out of 16 in this game for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and earned 2 rebounds.

Baylor has a win-loss mark of 15-5 on the year. The Bears have committed 17.8 fouls per game while shooting 74.2% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 15.7 times per game (33rd in the nation) and they cough up possession 12.8 times per contest. Baylor has earned 1,588 points for the year (79.4 per contest) and they collect 36.3 boards per contest. As an offense, the Bears are hitting on 45.2% from the floor, which ranks them 151st in the country.

The Bears defensively are ranked 181st in D-1 in PPG allowed with 69.3. They are forcing their opponents into 14.6 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.8% from the floor (217th in Division 1). The Baylor defense surrenders 32.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (142 of 432) and their opponents are connecting on 71.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 14.9 dimes and 31.1 total rebounds per game, which is 324th and 32nd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baylor

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