Virginia Cavaliers vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 3/20/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Virginia Cavaliers vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Sunday, March 20, 2022

Location: UNT Coliseum in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Virginia (+3)

The Virginia Cavaliers (20-13) are traveling to UNT Coliseum on Sunday where they will take on the North Texas Mean Green (25-6). Virginia is 3-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 138.

The Virginia Cavaliers faced off with Mississippi State and went home with a win by a final score of 60-57 in their last game. When discussing fouls, the Cavaliers ended up with 11 and Mississippi State had 17 fouls. They also made 4 of their 13 attempts from distance. Mississippi State ended up going 63.6% at the free throw line by making 7 of their 11 tries. On top of that, Mississippi State pulled down 26 rebounds (5 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't have a block. Mississippi State recorded 12 dimes and had 3 steals for this game. In regard to the defense, Virginia allowed the other team to go 50.0% from the floor on 23 out of 46 shooting. They also dished out 17 assists in the matchup while forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and having 4 steals. When discussing rebounding, they compiled a total of 21 with 3 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Cavaliers converted 12 of 17 tries for a rate of 70.6%. Virginia ended the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (23 of 46) and knocked down 2 out of their 12 shots from downtown.

Reece Beekman is a player who was a factor in the matchup. He went 71.4% from the field and also totaled 6 assists. He was on the court for 37 mins played and totaled 3 rebounds. He accounted for 14 points on 5 out of 7 shooting.

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Virginia comes into this contest with a record of 20-13 for the campaign. They are turning it over 9.8 times per game and as a group are committing 13.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Virginia is snagging 31.2 boards per contest and has totaled 465 assists so far this season, which ranks 80th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Cavaliers are connecting on 31.8% on three-point attempts (162 of 509) and 73.8% from the free throw line. They average 62.5 pts per contest (341st in D-1) while connecting on 45.0% from the floor.

Defensively, the Cavaliers are forcing their opponents into 11.1 turnovers every game while drawing 14.2 fouls. They surrender 33.8% from beyond the arc and they are 7th in college basketball in PPG allowed (60.1). The Cavaliers defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 42.6% (738 of 1,732) and they concede 31.3 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 140th in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 384 conceded for the year.

In their last game, the North Texas Mean Green got the victory with a final of 67-63 when they played Texas State. In reference to how they rebounded, North Texas permitted Texas State to collect 35 in total (9 on the offensive glass). They shot 21.1% from 3-point land by hitting 4 of 19 and finished the contest at 13 out of 22 from the free throw line (59.1%). The Mean Green allowed Texas State to bury 23 of 56 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.1% for the contest. In all, the Mean Green went 23 for 57 from the field which gave them a rate of 40.4%. Regarding shooting from beyond the arc, North Texas converted 11 of their 29 tries (37.9%). They were able to knock down 10 of those for a percentage of 55.6%. Texas State earned 22 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Mean Green to the free throw line for a total of 18 tries. They also turned it over 10 times, while recording 6 steals in the game. The Mean Green collected 25 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 in the matchup.

Mardrez McBride ended up being a major contributor for the Mean Green for this contest. He earned 24 points in his 43 mins of playing time, but wasn't able to notch an assist. He converted 8 out of 18 for the game for a field goal rate of 44.4%, and earned 3 rebounds.

North Texas has a win-loss record of 25-6 so far this year. As an offensive unit, the Mean Green are hitting on 44.2% from the field, which ranks 167th in college hoops. North Texas has earned 2,014 pts this year (65.0 per game) and they snag 34.1 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 10.9 times per contest (324th in college hoops) and they turn it over 11.5 times per game. The Mean Green are responsible for committing 15.8 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 64.7% from the charity stripe.

The North Texas defense concedes 27.5% on 3-point attempts (125 of 454) and their opponents are converting on 68.4% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 8.0 dimes and 29.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 1st and 6th in college hoops. The Mean Green on the defensive side of the court are 1st in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 55.2. They are able to force 12.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 41.1% from the field (53rd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Virginia (+3)

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