UMass Minutemen vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 3/11/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Friday, March 11, 2022

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: USA Net

The Dayton Flyers (22-9) will go up against the UMass Minutemen (15-16) at Capital One Arena on Friday.

The UMass Minutemen took the court against George Washington and notched a win by a score of 99-88 in their last game. When talking about personal fouls, the Minutemen ended up with 16 and George Washington finished the game with 13 personal fouls. They made 8 of 18 tries from long range. George Washington walked away from this one shooting 78.3% when shooting free throws by burying 18 of 23 attempts. Moreover, George Washington had 32 rebounds (8 offensive, 24 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. George Washington earned 13 assists and had 6 steals in this matchup. In relation to the defense, UMass allowed the other team to shoot 52.5% from the floor on 31 of 59 shooting. They also doled out 17 assists in this matchup while forcing the other team into 18 turnovers and getting 14 steals. With regard to pulling down rebounds, they earned 30 with 9 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Minutemen buried 13 of their 15 tries for a rate of 86.7%. UMass finished the contest having earned a 52.1% FG percentage (37 out of 71) and converted 12 of their 29 three-point attempts.

Noah Fernandes is someone who came through for the matchup. He accumulated 29 points on 11 of 17 shooting. He saw the court for 39 mins and also pulled down 1 rebound. He ended up going 64.7% from the field and totaled 7 assists.

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UMass heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 15-16 for the campaign. They lose possession via turnover 11.8 times per contest and as a unit are committing 16.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, UMass is pulling in 33.7 boards per game and has accounted for 428 assists for the year, which is 125th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Minutemen are connecting on 37.4% on shots from beyond the arc (299 of 799) and 75.9% from the free throw line. They are averaging 75.8 pts per contest (59th in college basketball) while hitting 43.2% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Minutemen are forcing 12.7 turnovers every game and they draw 17.3 personal fouls. They give up 37.7% on shots from downtown and they rank 343rd in the nation in PPG allowed (78.2). The Minutemen defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 48.4% (894 of 1,846) and they relinquish 35.2 rebounds per game as a unit. They are 352nd in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 515 surrendered so far this year.

When they last played, the Dayton Flyers walked away with a victory by a final of 82-76 when they faced Davidson. When talking about how they rebounded, Dayton allowed Davidson to collect 25 in all (3 on the offensive side). They finished 47.8% from behind the 3-point line by going 11 of 23 and ended up going 13 of 18 at the free throw line (72.2%). The Flyers allowed Davidson to bury 26 of their 53 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 49.1% for the game. When this game wrapped up, the Flyers walked away from this one shooting 28 for 51 from the floor which had them sitting at 54.9%. With regard to three-point shots, Dayton buried 10 of their 19 tries (52.6%). They were able to bury 16 of the free throw tries for a rate of 76.2%. Davidson was called for 20 personal fouls in the game which took the Flyers to the free throw line for a total of 21 shots. They also coughed it up 4 times, while getting 2 steals for this game. The Flyers snagged 26 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds totaling 30 for this contest.

DaRon Holmes II was important for the Flyers for the matchup. He had 20 points in his 37 mins on the court and totaled 1 assist in this contest. He made 5 out of 7 for the matchup for a rate of 71.4%, and had 6 rebounds.

Dayton has a win-loss record of 22-9 so far this year. When it comes to offense, the Flyers are hitting on 47.7% from the floor, which is ranked 28th in Division 1. Dayton has scored 2,142 points so far this year (69.1 per game) and they pull in 35.1 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 14.4 times per contest (81st in the country) and they lose possession via turnover 12.6 times per contest. The Flyers commit 13.9 personal fouls per game and they connect on 68.2% from the charity stripe.

The Dayton defense gives up 33.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (210 of 634) and opponents are making 71.9% of their foul shots. They have conceded 12.1 dimes and 28.8 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 138th and 2nd in those categories on the defensive end. The Flyers on defense are ranked 12th in Division 1 in points allowed per game with 60.6. They are able to force 11.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.0% from the floor (56th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dayton

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