Texas State Bobcats vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 3/15/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Location: UNT Coliseum in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Texas State (+9)

The Texas State Bobcats (21-7) are hitting the road to UNT Coliseum on Tuesday where they will take on the North Texas Mean Green (24-6). North Texas opens this contest as 9-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is 118.

The Texas State Bobcats faced off with Louisiana and took a loss by a score of 79-72 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Bobcats walked away with 25 while Louisiana racked up 18 personal fouls. They also made 6 out of their 14 shots from 3-point land. Louisiana shot 78.1% at the free throw line by knocking down 25 of 32 attempts. On top of that, Louisiana snagged 42 rebounds (10 offensive, 32 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Louisiana earned 16 dimes and had 3 steals for the contest. Pertaining to defending, Texas State allowed 46.2% from the field on 24 of 52 shooting. They also doled out 10 dimes for the matchup while forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When talking about hauling in rebounds, they compiled 27 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Bobcats knocked down 17 of their 25 shots for a percentage of 68.0%. Texas State ended the contest having earned a 35.8% FG percentage (24 out of 67) and made 7 out of their 20 3-pointers.

Mason Harrell is a player who was a contributor for this contest. He went 40.0% from the floor and also recorded 2 assists. He played 28 mins played and grabbed 1 rebound. He ended up with 16 points on 4 of 10 shooting.

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Texas State heads into this one with a record of 21-7 on the campaign. They turn the ball over 12.5 times per contest and as a team are committing 16.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Texas State is snagging 33.4 rebounds per game and has totaled 344 dimes on the season, which ranks 305th in the nation in terms of passing. The Bobcats are shooting 38.1% on three-point attempts (179 of 470) and 75.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 70.7 pts per contest (187th in Division 1) while connecting on 46.4% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Bobcats have forced 14.9 turnovers every game while drawing 17.2 fouls. They rank 42nd in D-1 in giving up assists with 327 surrendered on the campaign. The Bobcats are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.1% (613 of 1,455) and they concede 30.9 rebounds per game as a unit. They are surrendering 33.3% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 29th in college basketball in PPG from their opponents (63.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the North Texas Mean Green took a loss by a final score of 42-36 when they played Louisiana Tech. The Mean Green were able to collect 23 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 31 in the matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 8 steals for this contest. Louisiana Tech committed 12 personal fouls for this game which took the Mean Green to the free throw line for 9 attempts. They were able to knock down 6 of them for a rate of 66.7%. In the matter of 3-pointers, North Texas buried 4 of their 24 tries (16.7%). At the conclusion of this game, the Mean Green shot 13 for 54 from the field which had them shooting 24.1%. The Mean Green permitted Louisiana Tech to knock down 14 of 49 tries from the floor which had them at 28.6% in this matchup. They finished the game shooting 27.8% from distance by hitting 5 of 18 and walked away from this one shooting 9 out of 11 from the charity stripe (81.8%). When discussing cleaning up the glass, North Texas allowed Louisiana Tech to pull down 33 in all (6 offensive).

Thomas Bell pitched in for the Mean Green for the matchup. He recorded 10 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 3 assists for the contest. He made 3 out of 8 for the game for a rate of 37.5%, and had 8 rebounds.

North Texas has a win-loss mark of 24-6 on the season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mean Green are shooting 44.4% from the floor, which is ranked 155th in the country. North Texas has tallied 1,947 pts on the year (64.9 per game) and they average 33.9 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 10.8 times per contest (326th in the country) and they are turning it over 11.5 times per game. The Mean Green have committed 15.7 fouls every game and they shoot 65.0% from the charity stripe.

The Mean Green are ranked 1st in college basketball in points given up per game with 55.0. They are able to force 12.4 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.1% from the field (58th in Division 1). The North Texas defense concedes 27.8% on shots from 3-point land (121 of 435) and opponents are making 68.8% of their free throw shots. They have given up 7.9 dimes and 29.2 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 1st and 6th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take North Texas (-9)

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