Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/7/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Monday, November 7, 2022

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

The Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (23-12 last season) are en route to Humphrey Coliseum on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (18-16 last year).

The Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders stepped onto the hardwood against Texas Southern and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 76-67 in their last game of last season. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi finished the contest having earned a 37.3% field goal percentage (25 of 67) and converted 8 of their 21 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Islanders converted 9 of 19 tries for a rate of 47.4%. When it comes to rebounding, they compiled a total of 36 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 17 assists for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and having 9 steals. When discussing defense, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi allowed 41.8% from the floor on 23 of 55 shooting. Texas Southern doled out 9 assists and had 4 steals for the matchup. Moreover, Texas Southern pulled down 42 boards (8 offensive, 34 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Texas Southern ended up shooting 74.3% at the free throw line by converting 26 of their 35 tries. They knocked down 4 out of their 13 shots from beyond the arc. Regarding fouls, the Islanders ended up with 22 while Texas Southern recorded 18 fouls.

Simeon Fryer is someone who was a major contributor in the matchup. He walked away with 12 points on 5 out of 9 shooting. He saw the court for 31 mins played and snagged 9 rebounds. He went 55.6% from the floor and distributed 1 assist.

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Texas A&M-Corpus Christi heads into this game after finishing with a win-loss mark of 23-12 last season. They had an average of 76.6 pts per game (45th in Division 1) while shooting 44.3% from the floor. The Islanders shot 33.6% on three-point attempts (224 of 666) and 73.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi collected 38.3 rebounds per game and racked up 528 assists last season, which was 28th in D-1 in terms of passing. They lost possession by turning the ball over 14.1 times per contest and as a squad committed 20.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they were on defense, the Islanders were able to force 16.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they drew 19.8 fouls. They conceded 31.1% on three-point shots and they were 205th in D-1 in PPG allowed (70.1). The Islanders allowed a FG percentage of 41.7% (809 of 1,942) and they relinquished 33.9 boards per game as a group. They were ranked 286th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 447 surrendered last season.

When they last played last year, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a loss by a score of 60-57 against Virginia. The Bulldogs earned 21 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 26 in this matchup. They also gave up possession 13 times, while earning 3 steals in this contest. Virginia had 11 fouls in this contest which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 11 tries. They were able to convert 7 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 63.6%. In reference to shots from distance, Mississippi State knocked down 4 out of 13 tries (30.8%). In all, the Bulldogs finished shooting 23 out of 46 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. The Bulldogs allowed Virginia to convert 23 of their 46 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 50.0% for the game. They went 16.7% from downtown via 2 of 12 and ended up going 12 of 17 from the free throw line (70.6%). In regard to rebounding, Mississippi State allowed Virginia to get 21 overall (3 on the offensive glass).

Tolu Smith ended up being a factor for the Bulldogs in this matchup. He had 16 points in his 35 minutes of playing time and added 2 assists for the contest. He knocked down 6 out of 9 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and earned 11 rebounds.

Mississippi State had a win-loss mark of 18-16 last season. The Bulldogs were responsible for committing 15.7 fouls per game and they connected on 72.1% from the free throw line. They dished out assists 13.4 times per game (148th in the nation) and they turned it over 13.1 times per contest. Mississippi State tallied 2,396 pts last season (70.5 per game) and they pulled in 36.3 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Bulldogs shot 45.5% from the field, which was ranked 93rd in college basketball.

The Mississippi State defense gave up 31.9% on 3-point attempts (250 of 784) and their opponents connected on 72.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They gave up 13.8 assists and 30.5 rebounds per game, which was ranked 273rd and 20th in those categories on the defensive end. The Bulldogs on defense were ranked 87th in Division 1 in points per game surrendered with 66.2. They forced 13.1 TO's every game and allowed teams to shoot 43.0% from the field (173rd in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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