Southern Jaguars vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 11/16/2022 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Southern Jaguars vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: Hulu Live TV

The Southern Jaguars (0-2) are on their way to University Credit Union Pavilion on Wednesday where they will meet the St. Mary's Gaels (3-0).

The Southern Jaguars faced Arizona and took a loss by a score of 95-78 in their last contest. In regard to personal fouls, the Jaguars ended up finishing with 35 and Arizona totaled 22 personal fouls. They made 5 of 20 tries from distance. Arizona ended up going 65.2% when shooting free throws by burying 30 of their 46 attempts. In addition, Arizona pulled down 48 rebounds (8 offensive, 40 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Arizona doled out 24 dimes and had 6 steals for the game. In relation to defending, Southern allowed their opponent to shoot 54.5% from the floor on 30 out of 55 shooting. They also recorded 14 assists in this matchup while creating 19 turnovers and earning 12 steals. With respect to rebounding, they compiled 29 with 8 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Jaguars buried 20 of their 30 tries for a percentage of 66.7%. Southern ended the game having earned a 36.2% field goal percentage (25 of 69) and converted 8 out of their 23 3-pointers.

Bryson Etienne is one guy who came through for the contest. He scored 17 points on 6 of 16 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 32 mins and grabbed 3 rebounds. He went 37.5% from the floor and earned 4 assists.

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Southern enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 0-2 on the year. They have an average of 67.0 points per game (299th in college basketball) on 36.1% from the field. The Jaguars are hitting 31.4% on 3-point shots (16 of 51) and 68.2% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Southern is collecting 35.0 rebounds per game and is sitting with 28 dimes this season, which is 253rd in D-1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 19.5 times per contest and as a group they commit 30.0 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Jaguars are forcing their opponents into 18.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.0 personal fouls. They relinquish 19.6% from 3-point land while they are 334th in college basketball in points per game allowed (80.5). The Jaguars defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.7% (45 of 103) and they concede 42.5 rebounds per game as a team. They are currently ranked 242nd in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 34 surrendered for the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the St. Mary's Gaels got the win with a final of 63-33 when they played North Texas. Regarding attacking the glass, St. Mary's allowed North Texas to snag 21 in total (6 on the offensive side). They went 33.3% from three-point range by shooting 7 of 21 and walked away from this one shooting 2 out of 5 at the free throw line (40.0%). The Gaels permitted North Texas to bury 12 out of their 51 tries from the floor which left them shooting 23.5% in this matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Gaels finished shooting 25 for 51 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.0%. Concerning shooting from downtown, St. Mary's buried 10 out of their 18 tries (55.6%). They were able to knock down 3 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 60.0%. North Texas was called for 12 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Gaels to the free throw line for a total of 5 tries. They coughed up the ball 12 times, while earning 8 steals for the contest. The Gaels pulled down 32 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 42 in this game.

Alex Ducas was important for the Gaels for the matchup. He recorded 11 points in his 21 minutes on the hardwood, but wrapped up this contest with no dimes. He knocked down 4 of 7 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 57.1%, and had 5 rebounds.

St. Mary's has a record of 3-0 on the season. The Gaels commit 12.7 fouls per game and they hit 68.6% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 11.3 times per game (293rd in the nation) and they are losing possession via turnover 8.3 times per contest. St. Mary's has 220 points for the year (73.3 per game) and they pull down 41.3 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Gaels are shooting 45.9% from the floor, which is ranked 170th in college basketball.

The St. Mary's defense concedes 36.2% from downtown (25 of 69) and their opposition makes 61.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 8.7 assists and 27.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 54th and 22nd in college hoops. The Gaels defensively are ranked 20th in the nation in points given up per game with 52.0. They are able to force 11.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 35.0% from the floor (39th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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